Expect the polls to narrow in the Fall.

[Yavin4]

I want to get out ahead of this. The polls will narrow the closer we get to the election. In fact, Biden's national lead in the average of polls may be within the margin of error.

The election will be decided in the 6, or so, swing states. Watch those state polls, esp. in the last two weeks.

[Pantagruel]

1. Trump's press will get better

not because he deserves it but because a runaway election is bad for the media biz. A close race promotes ad spending.

[ffr]

3. +1 Every time. n/t

[RhodeIslandOne]

15. Trump won't shit his pants and Van Jones will declare he became President today.

[Demsrule86]

18. Facts are stubborn things.

[ffr]

2. I'm not going to be watching any polls in the last weeks. I'm going to be GOTV and voting.

It won't matter what the polls say, I'm going to be working my ass off trying to convince reluctant voters to do their civic duty and make the small sacrifice, taking time out of their day, one day, to vote.

You can watch the polls.

[empedocles]

4. My bet is that trump will keep outtrumping himself into yet deeper troubles.

[May be furthered helped by trump financial revelations, court decisions, 2nd sow waves of virus, protests, and DJI, whatever].

[Phoenix61]

9. This. He can't help himself.

The only thing he knows is to keep punching and since no one is going to take his phone away, the outcome is pretty obvious.

[RelativelyJones]

5. I agree. I think people are becoming way too overconfident. I've seen that film before.

[empedocles]

13. Agree with that also

[Demsrule86]

17. And most who think and say these things did not support Biden in the

primary. I don't doubt they will vote for him in the election but the doom and gloom all of the time is exhausting. I am not referring to you. I don't remember who you supported...just a general comment.

[RelativelyJones]

25. I take your point. I supported Biden enthusiastically during the primary, but am very wary of

overconfidence and echo chambers.

[redstatebluegirl]

6. I don't care about polling after 2016.

I am going to work like we are losing by 10. Get out the Vote, work to get young people to register and vote. These damn polls mean nothing.

[Chainfire]

7. Ain't that the damn truth!

[uponit7771]

11. +1, the polling in 2016 in swing states was abysmal and still not explained other than hiding racism

[fleur-de-lisa]

8. The media will report that the polls are narrowing, whether they actually are or not.

They don't make as much money if the race is a runaway . . . gotta' keep it close to keep viewers tuned in and the advertising $$$ rolling in.

[pwb]

10. I don't see it that way.

The blue tsunami is coming and Bidens lead will grow. IMO.

[progressoid]

12. Yep. People are stupid.

The economy will start to improve and they'll start to forgive and forget.

Trump's white cult will redouble their support.

[Demsrule86]

16. As both hubs and I are out of work...I hope it improves. But it isn't going to be a V shaped

recovery. Everyday brings news of jobs lost permanently. Trump is going to lose. I wish some would stop with the doom and gloom as it only depresses turnout. Trump has killed over 110,000 Americans and by November it could be a half a million or more. He won't win.

[Demsrule86]

14. I don't believe that. We are in such a mess that folks will desperately want Trump gone....

We have a pandemic, depression level unemployment and civil unrest. You have to look at the reality of our situation. This is not 2016 where things were better most places after 08...it is a fucking disaster.

[Yavin4]

19. Towards the end, fence-sitting Republicans will return to Trump.

The point of my OP was to stop people from freaking out when the polls inevtiably narrow. That's just how elections go.

[SlogginThroughIt]

20. Get out in front of it... How?

What are you doing to get out in front of it? I am not trying to be a jerk. Just trying to understand what you are doing aside from posting this here.

[Yavin4]

24. Ahead of people freaking out that the polls are narrowing.

There's nothing that anybody can do about it. The polls will narrow as we move closer to election day, and I didn't want people getting negative about it.

[Bradshaw3]

21. Drumpf has his cult and most other repubs will return to the herd

I don't like to use the term tribal so I'll just say in-group-out-group behavior. Most repubs talk about being "Christian" or "conservative" or "pro-choice" or whatever rationale they use to justify the unjustifiable. It all comes down to their "group" as they see it and logic, consistency, morality don't matter for 90 percent of them, no matter what they say. Expect drumpf to get his 45 percent in November. Democrats have to expect that will happen again.

[Happy Hoosier]

22. I agree.

If things calm a bit and we don;t have a huge second wave emerge, the polsl will revert to the norm.

Also, Barr plans a full-on assault in the late summer/fall. Durham's report will come out, and Barr will be looking to prosecute, and will no doubt throw down some indictments. Lindsey Graham will do everything he can to help that as well.

The Hunter Biden thing has fizzled since Ukraine has said there is no evidence of wrongdoing, but you can bet that will not satisfy Giuliani and he'll make a bunch of salacious claims.

None of this is intended to convince you and me, of course. This is mostly about getting back the folks who can't stomach what is going on NOW, but are looking for an excuse to say that at least Trump isn't as bad as INSERT NAME HERE.

Hopefully, he's genuinely lost enough people to mean he still loses.

[marie999]

23. Five months until the election.

Polls now are, to quote Seven of Nine, "irrelevant".