Study: Shutdowns prevented 60 milllion coronavirus cases in US

[babylonsister]

Study: Shutdowns prevented 60 milllion coronavirus cases in US
By Peter Sullivan - 06/08/20 08:29 AM EDT


New research finds that shutdowns and other interventions prevented 60 million coronavirus infections in the United States and that the policies had “large health benefits.”

The study from a team at the University of California, Berkeley published Monday in the journal Nature finds that shelter-in-place orders, business closings, travel restrictions and other responses prevented 530 million infections across the U.S., China, South Korea, Italy, Iran and France.

Because of limited testing, the study states that 62 million of those infections would have been confirmed cases in the six countries, but the real number would have been 530 million. For the U.S., those numbers are 4.8 million confirmed cases prevented, but 60 million actual cases prevented.

The study examines the period from the emergence of the virus in January to April 6. Because the virus grows at an exponential rate when unchecked, the study also finds there would be 465 times more confirmed cases in China without any interventions and 14 times more confirmed cases in the United States.

more...

https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/501607-study-shutdowns-prevented-60-milllion-coronavirus-cases-in-us

[Voltaire2]

1. "prevented" is the key verb tense here.

We've decided without any rigorous analysis to sound the all clear and get the party started again.

[DBoon]

2. "delayed" is more like it

Governments caved to pressure from businesses and right wing funded "protestors"

A lockdown that worked very well is now gone.

[Bengus81]

3. Yep and several States reporting record high positive cases.......

I would say by the end of June most States will be wide open with zero restrictions--just advice on what people SHOULD do. Righttttttt..........

[Newest Reality]

4. The crux of the matter:

"Because the virus grows at an exponential rate when unchecked..."

Do we have to erect a monument with those words on it? It is plain, simple language and clearly spells out what we have to do until this passes.

[Jarqui]

6. +1

Where the study that says more cases are going to be avoided from opening up?

Can't hold our collective breaths for something that never will be.

Until they come up with a vaccine or effective treatment, nothing will materially change. Opening up will drive the numbers back up.

[Throck]

5. Prevented or delayed?

The way I understood it, it was supposed to spread out the total number of cases preventing a spike overload in the hospitals. Sooner or later everyone was going to get it just not all at once.

[PCIntern]

7. Correct

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

8. But they destroyed my big beautiful economy - Donald the bunkerboy