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Soph0571

(9,685 posts)
Tue Jun 9, 2020, 07:39 AM Jun 2020

Trump is facing 'political death' without enough time to turn the country around before the election

Never Trumper Matt Lewis on the employment stats and how this may well impact for November:

“This is political death,” he wrote. ” Incumbent presidents like Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, and George H. W. Bush all lost re-election while presiding over high levels of unemployment over 7 percent. The exceptions were Barack Obama and Ronald Reagan, both of whom ran for re-election as the rate was declining from previously higher numbers. Obama presided over the highest unemployment rates in decades during his first term and won re-election with the rate at 7.7 percent; Reagan won a landslide in 1984 with a 7.4 percent.”

As Lewis notes, time — with an election looming in November — is not on Trump’s side for one big reason.

“It gets worse for Trump,” he suggested. “He doesn’t really have four-and-a-half months to turn things around. Around half of the U.S. will be able to vote as early as September. Even before COVID-19, around 40 percent of votes cast were done so before election day. And even if you assume most of the people who vote early or absentee will wait until October, that means he’s running out of precious time.”

[link:https://www.rawstory.com/2020/06/trump-is-facing-political-death-without-enough-time-to-turn-the-country-around-before-the-election-conservative/|]
Emphasis mine

As James Carville once famously said 'The economy, stupid'. In one way it is depressing that it took a major hit to the economy to put Trump at risk of losing some of his voters, on the other hand if people have to go through this economic hardship anyway cause Covid then at least the silver lining in all of this is that he cannot gaslight his way to election victory when people ARE dying and people ARE unemployed in huge numbers. As the article points out, he needs to turn this round by September?? Hehe. Not gonna happen, he ain't no Houdini.
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