538 avg now at 40.8

[Laura PourMeADrink]

[Johnny2X2X]

1. Under 40 is the key to me

If he gets under 40% on the composite, he will not have enough time before November to recover.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

4. And perhaps cheating won't be believable enough if he "wins.". Where

Did you get that idea from, "not enough time to recover? ". That is very interesting!!!!

If I was advising Trump, I would tell him to immediately call a news conference and plead with ALL people to wear a mask. Order it !!! It could help him, but more importantly it would drive down the 100k additional lives they are predicting we will lose.

[Mike 03]

5. This.

Maybe it's a fantasy, but based on older polling, I think his core base is around 33%. But anything below 40% is a good sign.

[Johnny2X2X]

10. 25%

I think his core is around 25% When opinion polls for his approval are given they give strongly approve and somewhat approve options, he's been between 22% and 25% on those polls for strongly approve.

[Wounded Bear]

2. ...and trending downwards...

[doc03]

3. That number is still just astounding. How can that many people still back him?

I know one guy that is the CEO of a small company, a very intelligent person and still believes Trumps bullshit.

[Mike 03]

7. It is amazing he polls around 40. I understand why the very wealthy would

support Trump, but his base isn't composed of 1%ers. I'm waking up to the idea that racism really does play a large part. How could so many people vote for a guy who wants to deprive them of social security, health care an any form of social net. It has to be a deep pathology that drives them.

[RussBLib]

9. they still think they can be rich like him

baby, you are going to have to fuck over a whole lot of people before you become "rich like Trump."

[Mike 03]

11. You make a lot of sense. I love what Howard Stern told the Trumpers in his

audience. He told them Trump despises people like them and wouldn't even let them into Mar-A-Lago. "Go to Mar-A-Lago and look around. Do you see one single person that looks like you?"

[doc03]

19. I don't know if this is true but I heard Palm Beach was

basicly a gated community that unless you had a work permit you weren't welcome after hours especially if black.

[Poiuyt]

12. Some people's brains are wired to desire authoritarian leadership

Others are the 1%, people who are openly or blatantly racist, or people who are just plane ignorant.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

13. Academic Study of Trump supporter from UC Santa Cruz

https://jspp.psychopen.eu/article/view/750/html

Abstract

No one factor describes Trump’s supporters. But an array of factors – many of them reflecting five major social psychological phenomena can help to account for this extraordinary political event: authoritarianism, social dominance orientation, prejudice, relative deprivation, and intergroup contact.

[Doodley]

16. It is racism. Most will deny it is racism and don't believe they are racist,

but that is what it is. They are incensed about a black sportsman taking a knee during the national anthem. They think Obama is the worst president ever. They say white lives matter too. They see in Trump somebody who stands up for America because we should be dominant and they think other nations are walking over us. This is what I hear all the time from my wife's family and many friends. They see in Trump somebody who represents their racist values, but they can't see that they are racist. No matter how bad Trump gets or what he says, he still shares those values and they will support him.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

18. You are right. Read article above.. three other characteristics

[Amishman]

8. a few are mystified by his BS, the rest just don't want what we want

I've often described the republicans as a coalition of single issue voters.

As long as he checks the box for their conservative pet policy area and we don't, they will support him no matter what.

[KPN]

15. They back him because they're afraid of

being equal to people of color and women, and afraid of lgbtq’s, Islam, and “communism”.

[RussBLib]

6. do they really approve of how Trump has handled COVID?

Or how he splits families at the border?
Or how he has split up all of our international alliances?
Or how he denies any information whatsoever to the Dem House?


I could go on and on, but I would rather find a journalist re-capping this shit.

[doc03]

14. Yes they do! nt

[Doodley]

17. Yes because they get their information from Fox News and right-wing radio.