Trump could lose Florida in November because of the state's broken unemployment system: report

[soothsayer]

https://www.rawstory.com/2020/06/trump-could-lose-florida-in-november-because-of-the-states-broken-unemployment-system-report/

Snip

President Trump needs Florida’s 29 electoral votes for his path to reelection. But thanks to the state’s broken unemployment insurance system, Republicans are worried that there will be thousands of unemployed citizens who will bring their frustration to the voting booth, writes Tampa Bay Times’ Bobby Caina Calvan.

Speaking to the Times, Lorin Lynch says that she was supporter of Trump’s, but now she’s “kind of questioning everything.”

[SharonClark]

1. The repugs will find some way to disenfranchise the unemployed.

They always do.

[BComplex]

7. Yep. The only way republicans can win is if they cheat.

And that's about the only thing they're really good at.

[beachbumbob]

2. Growing dislike of trump among over 55 white population

and retirees will make Florida not even close

[SoonerPride]

3. TRUMP WILL LOSE FLORIDA for a whole slew of reasons

[BlueLucy]

4. I give up on FL

I don't think they're really a swing state.

[soothsayer]

5. Maybe this will force his hand on new stimulus

For the people. With another signed letter to follow and a reminder to vote (for him).

[Phoenix61]

6. When, not if, covid rages through The Villages

Twitler will have official lost Florida.

[MoonlitKnight]

8. Lots of pissed off Republicans in Florida

The unemployment fiasco has hit them hard. I have heard from many who are voting blue. It’s a shame that DeSantis and Senator Rick Scott aren’t up for election this cycle because they would lose in landslides.

[Awsi Dooger]

9. There is no such thing as a landslide in Florida

That's why anyone should totally ignore a poll that suggests a margin outside 1 or 2 points. I emphasized that in 2018 when plenty of garbage polls had Gillum and Nelson well ahead.

Same thing will apply to 2020. I'm sure there will be threads here touting Biden ahead 5 points in Florida. They will be laughable. In fact, I'll get the jump and laugh at them right now.

Florida is every bit the swing state. There is bizarre pessimism here solely because so many tight outcomes have gone the other way. Meanwhile the ideological percentages are far more favorable in Florida than in states like Georgia or Texas or North Carolina. Those states all have 40+% self-identified conservatives in presidential years, while Florida is closer to 36 or 37%.

Florida will tilt our way before any of those three states will join. The problem in Florida is that our side is consistently outworked and outmaneuvered. I have detailed that countless times, while seeing in play out from the Miami suburbs and also reports from my Democratic sister in the Orlando area. Republicans win this state because they emphasize it all year long every year. Democratic operatives somehow believe a few phone calls and GOTV operations in September and October are more than sufficient.

I am uncertain about Arizona. That state is in flux. Difficult to evaluate but I would caution the same thing about any polling: Huge leads in Arizona for a Democrat are not the real world. There are too many conservatives for a Democrat to lead big. Anything we pull out in Arizona will be razor tight.

[MoonlitKnight]

10. The landslide would be only

If DeSantis and Scott were running, as I stated previously. Not with regard to Trump. That will remain close because when it comes down to marking the ballot, there remains the group that wants its judges no matter how bad the candidate. And they aren’t blaming Trump for the unemployment fiasco - just DeSantis and Scott.