National GE: Biden 49% (+14) Trump 35%

[sunonmars]

Last edited Mon Jun 15, 2020, 11:26 AM - Edit history (1)

Link to tweet

.............. Trumpy going to need to start xeroxing the cease and desist letters.

Full details.......if it this bad in Solid GOP state, this ill not even be close.......

Link to tweet

[Roland99]

1. GOTV like we're 14pts *behind*!!

[sunonmars]

2. Yup, but I don't think I've ever seen a GOP incumbent, this low.... EVER

[Botany]

3. Trump has a 25% base (racist, sexist, dumb fucks) that will not leave him

But everyday and by almost every minute his 2016 voters are either leaving him, Trump,
and or will vote for Biden or not vote at all.

[sunonmars]

4. Thats the problem with polling too, he may get 93% of the GOP, but what % is the GOP now overall...

compared to 2016 or 2018.

[Mike 03]

6. 25% I can live with. I'd been thinking it was closer to 33%.

Not that it's good news 25% of Americans are idiots, but 25% is better than 33%, and some people actually believe it's in the low forties. So I'll take it!

[Botany]

8. That is 25% of the entire American population but in some areas of the country the % of people ...

.... who still support Trump because they support his racism, sexism, and his proud to be stupid* that is
Trump is > 70%.


* Donald Trump thought Nepal and Bhutan were in India. Called them Nipple and Button.

https://www.indiatoday.in/trending-news/story/donald-trump-nepal-bhutan-button-nipple-1449172-2019-02-06

BTW my question is will @ least some of the people in the coal fields of Appalachian leave Trump? The mines
are closing and they are not coming back.

[Johnny2X2X]

5. The other aspects of this poll are wow!

Among 6 swing states trump won in 2016, he trails by 17 points, 52-35. That is crazy. 538 grades Abacus a B/C, so it's not without merit. For comparison, Pew research is a B/C rated poll.

[sunonmars]

7. I think attitudes are cementing and I don't think the GOP base is as big as it was in 16/18 %wise

This is all going in the right direction.

[gristy]

9. If the undecideds in this poll split the same as the decideds in the election

then Biden would get 58.3% of the popular vote. This would be the 13th greatest margin in 58 presidential elections.

[oswaldactedalone]

10. Give it a month

and a poll will come out saying Biden by 7 and the media will go full throttle with Trump on the comeback trail, the race is tightening, Biden is losing momentum.

It’s like clockwork. Keep working, donating, and campaigning. No distractions.

[honest.abe]

11. If this is accurate, it is very unlikely Trump can close this gap.

Even cheating, Russia, and the RW media wont be enough.

[sunonmars]

12. UPDATED with full details.

[honest.abe]

13. Love this stat: Swing States Won By Trump: Biden: 52% Trump: 35%

[Yavin4]

14. Don't get your hopes too high. The race will tighten just prior to election day.

We live in a hyper-partisan time. This is still a turnout election.