RCP Last average - Battleground Matchups. Best to worst looking.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

Virginia. Biden +9.7 (5/17/20)

Michigan. Biden +7.3 (6/3)

Minnesota. Biden +5 (5/20)

New Hampshire. Biden +4.6 (4/27)

Wisconsin. Biden +4 (6/2)

Nevada. Biden +4 (1/8)

Arizona. Biden +3.4 (6/2)

Florida. Biden +3.4 (5/31)

Pennsylvania. Biden 3.3 (5/31)

=========================

North Carolina. Trump +0.3 (6/3)
Last Biden +4

Ohio. Trump +0.5
Last Biden +2

Texas. Trump +1.5 (6/1)
Last Trump +1

Iowa. Trump +4.6 (5/1)
Last Trump +2

[pwb]

1. No stoping the blue tsunami.

good news here.

[Squinch]

3. Good news, but our margins need to be better! Russians will do as Russians do.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

6. What do you think that tipping point # is? Will never forget

Kerry being ahead by a couple on election eve in Florida and then bush "winning" by a couple. Like a 4-5 point swing overnight and exits had few deciding last minute.

But headwinds so much stronger now. Nothing done about tRussian interference. Pandemic can absolutely affect turnout. Suppression will be rampant. It's like GOP has too many things in their favor to spin a win.

And even if trump defies all polls and "wins" again. Who would do anything about it? Not like you could prove that results are wrong.

[Squinch]

8. I agree, and I don't know what the tipping point is, but I won't be happy till

we're 7 or 8 points up in the number of swings we need.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

9. Me too. And his approval well below 40! I have never

Been worried about him not vacating WH if he loses. (Wait till he goes to play golf and change locks).

But, if he cheats and "wins" there will likely be mass protests, but what else can be done?

[SoonerPride]

2. Too many swing states are within the margin of theft.

[Squinch]

4. LOL. See my post put up just as you were putting this up.

[SoonerPride]

5. GMTA.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

7. And so do we

[oswaldactedalone]

10. With regard to

NC, Ohio, Texas, and Iowa, I’m reading those polls as Trump’s numbers are improving. Is that right?

[Laura PourMeADrink]

11. Yes. And Iowa poll old too. Another plus that I didn't add

Was, for example, you'll see Biden avg +9.7 in VA. But the most recent single poll had him up +12.

But whatever made people dislike trump more in the last month, how long will that last?

[qazplm135]

12. jobs report

it was always going to be good for a percent or two for him.