Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Aviation Pro

(12,142 posts)
Thu Jun 18, 2020, 09:32 AM Jun 2020

National Polling Averages Shows Biden with a 9 Point Lead (538)

If the election was held today or yesterday, Joe Biden would be President. But the only easy day was yesterday and we much continue to keep this motherfucking, oxygen-thieving shitbag pinned to the mat until Nov. 3, 2020.

You want a landslide? Keep working, never let up, no complacency.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/our-new-polling-averages-show-biden-leads-trump-by-9-points-nationally/

18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
National Polling Averages Shows Biden with a 9 Point Lead (538) (Original Post) Aviation Pro Jun 2020 OP
National polls are menaingless edhopper Jun 2020 #1
And the undemocratic Electoral College. SharonClark Jun 2020 #6
Why the Swing States edhopper Jun 2020 #11
Agreed, must keep working, always remember... wcmagumba Jun 2020 #2
Wonderful . . Iliyah Jun 2020 #3
He's pulling away Johnny2X2X Jun 2020 #4
In every state we must ID new voters, register them, and GOTV! OrlandoDem2 Jun 2020 #5
Yes oswaldactedalone Jun 2020 #15
And let's act like he's 9 down. MatthewG. Jun 2020 #7
Does 538 give swing state polling? Those are the ones that matter uponit7771 Jun 2020 #8
It's in the article, see my post below Johnny2X2X Jun 2020 #10
The state averages are even better than the national IMO Johnny2X2X Jun 2020 #9
If those Florida numbers hold, its over. honest.abe Jun 2020 #12
That EC map looks way too close for comfort. lagomorph777 Jun 2020 #13
Thats best case scenario for FakePotus if we take Florida. honest.abe Jun 2020 #14
We can't afford to rely on Florida. lagomorph777 Jun 2020 #16
Of course. I'm just making the point how important Florida is to the Trump campaign. honest.abe Jun 2020 #17
K&R Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Jun 2020 #18

edhopper

(33,554 posts)
1. National polls are menaingless
Thu Jun 18, 2020, 09:41 AM
Jun 2020

Biden will win the general election. What matters is swing States with a history of voter suppression.

wcmagumba

(2,883 posts)
2. Agreed, must keep working, always remember...
Thu Jun 18, 2020, 09:41 AM
Jun 2020

The last hour of vote tabulation, the republican "Witching Hour"...

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
3. Wonderful . .
Thu Jun 18, 2020, 09:45 AM
Jun 2020

but it has to be higher especially in the EC's states.

Keep - eyes on the prize, save Democracy.

Johnny2X2X

(19,023 posts)
4. He's pulling away
Thu Jun 18, 2020, 09:48 AM
Jun 2020

He’s doing great in swing states too, but WI and PA are still too close for comfort.

He’s a couple points clear of Hillary’s best numbers in 2016 between May and the election. And what’s more is there are way less undecideds this cycle.

OrlandoDem2

(2,065 posts)
5. In every state we must ID new voters, register them, and GOTV!
Thu Jun 18, 2020, 09:59 AM
Jun 2020

This is a GOTV election. Very few, if any, will change from Trump to Biden.

MatthewG.

(362 posts)
7. And let's act like he's 9 down.
Thu Jun 18, 2020, 10:02 AM
Jun 2020

Obviously, good news.

That said, politics can shift very quickly.

Also, there are swing states - like my own state of PA - that are way too close in the polls. Don’t get complacent. There’s a lot of work to do.

Johnny2X2X

(19,023 posts)
9. The state averages are even better than the national IMO
Thu Jun 18, 2020, 10:05 AM
Jun 2020

WOW, read the full article:
Biden +17.0 in CO
+10.6 in VA
+10.2 in MI
+8.0 in NV
+7.7 in NH
+6.9 in FL
+6.6 in MN
+6.6 in WI
+5.3 in PA
+4.0 in AZ
+3.0 in NC
+1.0 in GA
-0.6 in IA
-0.7 in TX

This has the makings of a landslide!

honest.abe

(8,657 posts)
12. If those Florida numbers hold, its over.
Thu Jun 18, 2020, 10:14 AM
Jun 2020

If we take FL, you can give Trump WI, PA, NC, AZ, OH and still win. I dont see any other blue state that Trump could feasibly flip.

honest.abe

(8,657 posts)
14. Thats best case scenario for FakePotus if we take Florida.
Thu Jun 18, 2020, 10:22 AM
Jun 2020

Very likely the final results will be much better. My point is if we take Florida, Biden wins.

honest.abe

(8,657 posts)
17. Of course. I'm just making the point how important Florida is to the Trump campaign.
Thu Jun 18, 2020, 10:28 AM
Jun 2020

They must be going apeshit over these Florida numbers. Its a must win for them but not for us. Expect them to focus huge resources there.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»National Polling Averages...