KY-SEN: Booker Surges Past McGrath in Kentucky

[RandySF]

A new Data for Progress/Civiqs poll in Kentucky finds Charles Booker (D) now leading Amy McGrath (D) in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary, 44% to 36%.

The winner of next week’s primary will face Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) in November.


https://politicalwire.com/2020/06/18/booker-surges-past-mcgrath-in-kentucky/

[dhill926]

1. what I would like to know...

is if either one has a chance in hell of beating the turtle...

[Blasphemer]

2. The referenced poll has them both losing to him

53-33 for McGrath, 52-38 for Booker.

[dhill926]

3. jesus...unbelievable...

[Demsrule86]

4. He has no shot in the general... with McGrath, we had a chance.

[NewJeffCT]

6. I like Booker a lot, but I agree

I'm seeing a lot of attacks from supposed Booker supporters online vs McGrath - reminds me of Bernie Bros vs Hillary supporters in 2016/

[Corgigal]

8. Since when?

You think we’re voting for Booker because we want to lose by a bigger number?

Yep, that’s how it works here.

[Demsrule86]

19. I think you are backing the wrong person...Kentucky is not a progressive state.

Read up on Howard Dean and how he got us 60 votes in the Senate...

[Spider Jerusalem]

31. Howard Dean went from supporting single-payer to becoming a lobbyist for the healthcare industry

so fuck Howard Dean, really

[Music Man]

13. I have another thread about this in the GD forum.

The polls have McGrath losing to McConnell by more than Booker does. Don't know if you live in Kentucky or not, but those of us here know she doesn't have the political instincts or enthusiasm to overcome a 20-point deficit. People tend to think McGrath is a rising star, but she's really not that popular here.

[octoberlib]

16. I questioned the wisdom of her running again after she lost the other race.

[Demsrule86]

20. This is why I don't have hope for this state.

[lagomorph777]

25. Amy McGrath Takes Narrow Lead Over Mitch McConnell in Kentucky Senate Race, Poll Shows

https://www.newsweek.com/amy-mcgrath-takes-narrow-lead-over-mitch-mcconnell-kentucky-senate-race-poll-shows-1509691

Democratic senatorial candidate Amy McGrath appears to have a very narrow lead over Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell in Kentucky's race, according to a recent poll.

The polling, which was conducted by RMG Group, shows McGrath, a former Marine fighter pilot, with the support of 41 percent of voters, while McConnell is backed by 40 percent. However, the polling also showed that when voters are informed that McGrath supports congressional term limits while McConnell does not, her lead over the Republican jumps significantly.

With the candidates' positions on term limits factored in, McGrath was backed by 45 percent of respondents, while McConnell was supported by just 30 percent. But 17 percent of those surveyed were still undecided, and 8 percent said they'd vote for a different candidate.

[tblue37]

26. +1. nt

[JT45242]

5. Not a reliable poll

This poll is there to make Moscow Mitch look good.

Polls by people with actual random sampling of likely voters have McGrath in a dead heat.

This opt in poll is not to be trusted and is trying to suppress support for McGrath who is getting a lot of love from people outside of Kentucky who want Moscow Mitch gone. [Full disclosure, I have donated to her campaign through ACT Blue twice, and I have never lived in Kentucky, but want Moscow Mitch out so bad I am supporting her]

Hopefully, folks like the Lincoln Project will choose to add Moscow Mitch to their other 4 Trump humping Senate targets.

[lagomorph777]

23. Not even a poll; it's a survey, B/C rated.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

[Polybius]

7. Which one is the progessive?

Which one was endorsed by Bernie?

[comradebillyboy]

11. Bernie endorsed the male candidate....

[TheFarseer]

15. Why phrase it that way?

He also endorsed AOC over Crowley so maybe gender has nothing to do with it.

[Polybius]

17. Odd way to phrase it...

But thank you.

[oasis]

9. I've made contributions to the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.

I think it may be time for me to make donations directly to the candidate's campaigns.

[RandySF]

10. I'm just doing Saras Gideon and Cal Cunningham for the moment.

But I might start Bullock next month as well.

[oasis]

14. A Bullock Montana win would have me doing backflips in confetti.

[tritsofme]

12. This is madness. Are we sadists?

[madville]

18. With trump on the ticket

KY was gonna be about 55-42 in favor of McConnell with McGrath as the opposing candidate, I would go about 57-40 with Booker.

[LAS14]

21. Are there any Booker/McConnell polls out? nt

[lagomorph777]

22. B/C rated SURVEY not a poll

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

ignore it.

[Music Man]

27. I'm not sure I understand the difference.

It asks the specific questions about different candidate match-ups. The document also says it's been weighted to account for demographics so as to be representative.

http://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/6/ky/Civiqs_DataforProgress_KY_banner_book_2020_06.pdf

What particular problems do you have with the methodology or format? I'm here to learn.

[lagomorph777]

28. The online survey's participants are self-selected.

That is the opposite of random.

[Celerity]

32. No they are not. Online polls use databases of voters, build a sample, and send out

a private link. It is not some rando public 'bang and vote' as much you want or can reset your IP Drudge style free for all. Had this convo a twenty plus times in the primary section

[ooky]

24. Well, I guess we will just have to neuter McConnell then, and

win the Senate majority.

[lagomorph777]

29. Ooh, can I help? I'll bring the tool; you rope him.

[Happy Hoosier]

30. If Booker wins, there is ZERO chance to unseat McTurtle. NT