Decline in new US virus deaths may be temporary reprieve

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

The number of deaths per day from the coronavirus in the U.S. has fallen in recent weeks to the lowest level since late March, even as states increasingly reopen for business. But scientists are deeply afraid the trend may be about to reverse itself.

“For now, it’s too soon to be reassured that deaths are going down and everything’s OK,” said Dr. Cyrus Shahpar of Resolve to Save Lives, a nonprofit organization that works to prevent epidemics.

Deaths from COVID-19 across the country are down to about 680 a day, compared with around 960 two weeks ago, according to an Associated Press analysis of data compiled by Johns Hopkins University. The analysis looked at a seven-day rolling average of deaths through Wednesday.

A multitude of reasons are believed to be at play, including the advent of effective treatments and improved efforts at hospitals and nursing homes to prevent infections and save lives.

https://apnews.com/151c445c0da74948b15da9a41359edbd?utm_source=piano&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=morningwire&pnespid=j7kxquNEWwuNYVvgbyrApeROCBYC6mtdUtn_Jf6w

[Tommy_Carcetti]

1. Problem is, death is a lagging indicator.

And with new cases spiking, we will probably soon see more deaths follow.

[SoonerPride]

2. Exactly this.

Death is the last stop on the covid express.

The numbers will inevitably go back up.

Likely by a lot.

[Hortensis]

4. "First, cellphone data will show people moving around more..."

Doctors watching for an uptick in deaths will be on the alert for certain signals to emerge in a specific order, Shahpar said.

First, cellphone data will show people moving around more. Next, doctors will report more flu-like illnesses, and the proportion of people testing positive for the virus will rise. Hospitalizations will then go up and, finally, so will deaths.

Sounds like a lot of areas could be at the third stage.

The map says the county it doesn't seem wisest for us to go home to, in case one of us needed a hospital bed, has nearly 1.5K cases per 100K, waaay high.

[LizBeth]

3. Medical field knows much better how to treat than when this started. Also, unexplained deaths

and pneumonia deaths have sky rocketed.