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Ms. Toad

(34,069 posts) Sat Jun 20, 2020, 06:02 PM Jun 2020

1

7-day rolling average of new COVID 19:ETA today's #s - we're in trouble

Last edited Sat Jun 20, 2020, 08:58 PM - Edit history (1)

Ugh.

Saturdays are normally down from Friday. Since April 11, the Saturday new case number has been lower than the Friday new case number - down between 1919 and 6274 cases on Saturday compared to Friday.

It is lower today . . . just barely. Friday's new case number: 33,539; Satuday's new case number: 33,388. Down, but only by 151 cases. Less than 1/10 of the lowest case drop on Saturday since April 11 (on the upswing of the curve - dot #38 on the graph) That suggests to me that the weekly pattern is about to be swamped by how quickly the cases are going up.

2 replies

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7-day rolling average of new COVID 19:ETA today's #s - we're in trouble (Original Post) Ms. Toad Jun 2020 OP

when is the inflection? drray23 Jun 2020 #1

June 2 is the local minimum (day 97) Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #2

drray23

(7,627 posts)

1. when is the inflection?

Reply to Ms. Toad (Original post)

Sat Jun 20, 2020, 06:06 PM

Jun 2020

I would assume it is when states started to reopen ?

Ms. Toad

(34,069 posts)

2. June 2 is the local minimum (day 97)

Reply to drray23 (Reply #1)

Sat Jun 20, 2020, 06:09 PM

Jun 2020

just before the upswing.

Lots of reopening dates, but the 15th or so or May was a significant one.

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