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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsPoll: Joe Biden leads Donald Trump 48% to 35%.
Poll of the week: A new national Ipsos/Reuters poll finds that former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump 48% to 35%.
While Biden has led Trump in almost every Ipsos poll this year, his advantage this week is the largest in 2020.
What's the point: Even though the national polls were accurate in 2016, one of the complaints I hear most often about the polls is that Trump's supporters are either lying or won't talk to pollsters. Polls like Ipsos get around that argument because they use machines (e.g. they're done online) to conduct the interviews. There's no reason to lie to a machine. If Trump was doing significantly better in these non-live interview polls, then these critics of the polls may have a point.
The evidence indicates these detractors are, at least in this moment, wrong. There's no sign of shy Trump voters. Trump doesn't do any better in polls without a live interviewer.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/poll-joe-biden-leads-president-donald-trump-48percent-to-35percent/ar-BB15My9S?li=BBnb7Kz
still_one
(92,061 posts)and the reality is the swing states will determine who will win the WH
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)It ain't going to happen.
Silent3
(15,152 posts)...to thwart the popular vote when the popular vote margin is wider than just a few percent.
Disclaimer:
There's not a single word in this post advocating complacency.
Under The Radar
(3,401 posts)The crew heads for the life boats. But there are no life boats for them here. This is going to be a good show
regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)In fact, he might be now, after this weekend's multiple fiascos.
DrToast
(6,414 posts)jorgevlorgan
(8,281 posts)both 538 and RCP. And of all states, even Florida, which is great
jorgevlorgan
(8,281 posts)Jamaal510
(10,893 posts)45* barely won the EC and lost the PV by a few percentage points last time, he could be in for a soul-crushing November 3rd if this holds up. I've been donating during the past few months to help make this a reality. He really is overdue for a blowout loss.