Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(107,766 posts)
Sun Jun 21, 2020, 08:43 PM Jun 2020

Poll: Joe Biden leads Donald Trump 48% to 35%.

Poll of the week: A new national Ipsos/Reuters poll finds that former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump 48% to 35%.

While Biden has led Trump in almost every Ipsos poll this year, his advantage this week is the largest in 2020.

What's the point: Even though the national polls were accurate in 2016, one of the complaints I hear most often about the polls is that Trump's supporters are either lying or won't talk to pollsters. Polls like Ipsos get around that argument because they use machines (e.g. they're done online) to conduct the interviews. There's no reason to lie to a machine. If Trump was doing significantly better in these non-live interview polls, then these critics of the polls may have a point.

The evidence indicates these detractors are, at least in this moment, wrong. There's no sign of shy Trump voters. Trump doesn't do any better in polls without a live interviewer.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/poll-joe-biden-leads-president-donald-trump-48percent-to-35percent/ar-BB15My9S?li=BBnb7Kz

10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Poll: Joe Biden leads Donald Trump 48% to 35%. (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Jun 2020 OP
That is good, but we elect presidents by states with the electoral college still_one Jun 2020 #1
It's impossible for Trump to win the EC if he loses the popular vote by 13 points. Drunken Irishman Jun 2020 #3
While that's true, it's also very hard for even this terrible electoral system... Silent3 Jun 2020 #4
+++ still_one Jun 2020 #5
I have always heard that once a candidate gets in 34% territory Under The Radar Jun 2020 #2
Can't see how Biden isn't over 50% yet... regnaD kciN Jun 2020 #6
He is in some polls DrToast Jun 2020 #7
He is in all the averages jorgevlorgan Jun 2020 #9
And after yesterday's disaster, I wouldn't be surprised to see it get worse for that fucker jorgevlorgan Jun 2020 #8
Considering that Jamaal510 Jun 2020 #10

still_one

(92,061 posts)
1. That is good, but we elect presidents by states with the electoral college
Sun Jun 21, 2020, 08:45 PM
Jun 2020

and the reality is the swing states will determine who will win the WH


 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
3. It's impossible for Trump to win the EC if he loses the popular vote by 13 points.
Sun Jun 21, 2020, 08:48 PM
Jun 2020

It ain't going to happen.

Silent3

(15,152 posts)
4. While that's true, it's also very hard for even this terrible electoral system...
Sun Jun 21, 2020, 08:50 PM
Jun 2020

...to thwart the popular vote when the popular vote margin is wider than just a few percent.

Disclaimer:

There's not a single word in this post advocating complacency.

Under The Radar

(3,401 posts)
2. I have always heard that once a candidate gets in 34% territory
Sun Jun 21, 2020, 08:46 PM
Jun 2020

The crew heads for the life boats. But there are no life boats for them here. This is going to be a good show

Jamaal510

(10,893 posts)
10. Considering that
Sun Jun 21, 2020, 10:09 PM
Jun 2020

45* barely won the EC and lost the PV by a few percentage points last time, he could be in for a soul-crushing November 3rd if this holds up. I've been donating during the past few months to help make this a reality. He really is overdue for a blowout loss.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Poll: Joe Biden leads Don...