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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsPrepare for a Biden landslide (I do not personally endorse this)
So what does it all mean for the November election? Right now, it looks more likely that Biden will win a landslide victory, picking up states uncontested by Democrats in recent elections, than it is that Trump can mount a miraculous turnaround in just over four months. Even as Trump tries to advance a law-and-order pitch amid growing violence and tumult in the nations cities, its unlikely to benefit the president because hes the leader in charge. The chaos candidate is now the chaos president. Biden is the challenger pledging a return to normalcy.
Just look at the swing-state map: Biden is leading in every battleground state, according to the RealClearPolitics polling averages, with the exception of North Carolina where the race is tied. Trump trails by 6 points in the electoral prize of Florida, where the presidents newfound willingness to meet with Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro prompted a fierce backlash and quick White House retreat. Hes down 4 points in Arizona, a state that has only voted for a Democratic presidential candidate once since 1964. Hes not close to hitting even 45 percent of the vote in Michigan, Pennsylvania, or Wisconsinthe Midwestern states he flipped to win the presidency.
Meanwhile, the Trump campaign is airing ads in Iowa and Ohio, two states he won by near double-digit margins in 2016, as recent polls show Trump in precarious shape in both states. Public polling even shows Biden within striking distance in Georgia and Texas, two electoral prizes that would normally be safely Republican ... unless a big blue wave hits in November.
Right now, Biden leads Trump by 10 points in the RCP national average, a greater margin than former President Obamas 7-point landslide victory over John McCain 12 years ago. A best-case Biden scenario would net him 413 electoral votes, which would be more than any presidential candidate since George H.W. Bushs rout of Michael Dukakis in 1988.
Trump made history in 2016 with his stunning come-from-behind upset against Clinton. Hes at risk of making a different kind of political history unless hes able to suddenly turn his fortunes around.
https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/707750?unlock=XW0ITNHDVFGXBQM5
Beartracks
(12,801 posts)Just sayin'.
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beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)and we all knew it was going to be close in battleground states where Stein voters bled off enough support to give the outcome to trump.
2020 in no way similar to 2016, BUT it is to 2018 and why GOP is in fear all over america. They are facing an ANGRY democratic base of voters who will stand hours in line to vote even in pandemic era