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Sun Jun 28, 2020, 12:53 PM

Trump 538 approval is currently upside down by 15.5 points. I predict 20 points by election day.

Currently, we are looking at 40.6% approval. 56.1% disapproval.

More and more bad news keeps piling on. This week ahead, we've got day after day of Coronavirus getting worse. More deaths, more hospital ICUs filled to capacity, more cases, more states reversing their shutdowns, more economic uncertainty, and more people realizing America's response has been uniquely bad, while Trump refuses to take any responsibility or even sound like he cares. More people will realize that he simply hasn't got the mental capacity to make any kind of useful contribution.

Then we have the story of Russia and the bounty on American troops. As usual, Trump's response will just make him look worse. This is something that will displease Republicans as well as Democrats. In any normal situation, this alone would be enough to bring down a president, given his explicit reverence to Putin.

I'd be surprised if Trump isn't upside down by another point by the end of the week. That's 16.5. With Trump basically having given up any form of leadership when it comes to Covid or BLM, and now a new scandal, other than being a divider, and Twitter-in-Chief, it's hard to see how he isn't going to continue the slide downward all the way to election day. He's been negative by 20 points before. I think he will be get there again, and if he is that unpopular, even with cheating, it would be hard to see him winning.

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Reply Trump 538 approval is currently upside down by 15.5 points. I predict 20 points by election day. (Original post)
Doodley Jun 2020 OP
OrlandoDem2 Jun 2020 #1
Lithos Jun 2020 #2
Fiendish Thingy Jun 2020 #3
Demovictory9 Jun 2020 #4

Response to Doodley (Original post)

Sun Jun 28, 2020, 01:04 PM

1. Keep reporting on his retweeting of a white supremacist in The Villages.

That ideally would bring him down to 0%.

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Response to OrlandoDem2 (Reply #1)

Sun Jun 28, 2020, 02:04 PM

2. That won't

20% of the US is bigoted.

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Response to Doodley (Original post)

Sun Jun 28, 2020, 02:31 PM

3. I think it's just as likely to tighten nationwide

As long as Biden’s margins in the swing states hold, we’re good.

It all depends on the dirty tricks vs. The economy/pandemic

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Response to Doodley (Original post)

Sun Jun 28, 2020, 02:34 PM

4. he plans to put Jared as lead for his re-election

there is nothing Jared can't do

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