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denem

(11,045 posts)
Mon Jun 29, 2020, 07:44 PM Jun 2020

A note about trump's 40% approval rating.

Leaving aside the Republican split in 1912, no candidate representing the major parties has garnered less than 36.5% in a presidential election since the civil war. That distinction belongs to the long forgotten Alf Landon in 1936. Hoover himself won 39.7% in 1932.

Trump's approval rating is little more than a cipher an intention to vote GOP. Historically, record lows for presidential approval come in the second term when disapproval is not synonymous with crossing the partisan divide.

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John Fante

(3,479 posts)
1. I think Trump will get 44-45% of the popular vote when all
Mon Jun 29, 2020, 07:55 PM
Jun 2020

is said and done. Biden will get somewhere in the neighborhood of 52-53% of the vote and give Trump, far and away the worst president in history, a one way ticket to Mar-A-Largo.

John Fante

(3,479 posts)
3. I want Trump to lose so emphatically, it would make 1936 look like a nail-biter
Mon Jun 29, 2020, 08:00 PM
Jun 2020

in comparison. But there are simply too many MAGAmorons in this country for that to happen. I have to be realistic.

 

denem

(11,045 posts)
4. The problem for Moscow Mitch and the others
Mon Jun 29, 2020, 08:04 PM
Jun 2020

is, if they turn on him, he will turn on them, urging his magas not to vote for traitors.

erronis

(14,941 posts)
5. I question these 30+ approval ratings. They are cited frequently but I haven't seen the sources.
Mon Jun 29, 2020, 08:20 PM
Jun 2020

Are they based on land-lines? (Old people)

Most people I know only use cell phones and won't answer a call from an unknown number.

Young people are less likely to click on links that are harvesting information.

If these percentages come from the percentage of media coverage of flaming ass-holes, then I guess I understand.

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