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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Wed Jul 1, 2020, 01:35 PM Jul 2020

****GUARANTEED FRESH A RATED IBD-TIPP Poll****Battleground States Biden 57% Trump 33%

Among swing-state voters included in the IBD/TIPP Poll, Biden leads Trump, 57%-33%. Those states classified as swing states based on 2016 results include Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

https://www.investors.com/politics/joe-biden-lead-expands-over-president-donald-trump-coronavirus-protest-response/

31 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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****GUARANTEED FRESH A RATED IBD-TIPP Poll****Battleground States Biden 57% Trump 33% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2020 OP
OMG! That portends a massive wipeout landslide victory. honest.abe Jul 2020 #1
Omg! Beakybird Jul 2020 #2
What concerns me about many of these polls is that they are of registered voters, and not still_one Jul 2020 #3
Excellent point. Music Man Jul 2020 #6
That is everything still_one Jul 2020 #9
Likely voters screens are usually worth 1 or 2 points to the GOP DrToast Jul 2020 #10
I have no idea except to note that nothing has been predictable since the primaries still_one Jul 2020 #11
Still damned good polls. Demsrule86 Jul 2020 #15
Absolutely still_one Jul 2020 #17
The DNC and state Democratic parties must ID new voters and register them NOW! OrlandoDem2 Jul 2020 #16
YES!!! and encourage them to vote by mail where allowed, or vote early when it is available still_one Jul 2020 #18
One could argue likely voters could skew towards Biden. honest.abe Jul 2020 #19
I hope so still_one Jul 2020 #20
That's usually a GOP-leaning pollster DrToast Jul 2020 #4
And an A/B rated pollster at that, according to 538. Music Man Jul 2020 #8
Yes Johnny2X2X Jul 2020 #21
Off to the greatest page malaise Jul 2020 #5
This will be a massive blue blizzard plus a blue tsunami and a blue earthquake SpaceNeedle Jul 2020 #7
If that holds, we are in landslide territory. Demsrule86 Jul 2020 #12
Wow! Let's hope this leads holds Fiendish Thingy Jul 2020 #13
Trump deserves to be humiliated pwb Jul 2020 #14
Still not enough for me but this is a hell of a start. To send a clear and overwhelming ... SWBTATTReg Jul 2020 #22
This poll has a R +0.8 bias Johnny2X2X Jul 2020 #23
With numbers like that...is it really fair to call them "battleground" states? tritsofme Jul 2020 #24
need individual state numbers to see the entirety of the picture beachbumbob Jul 2020 #25
Blue wall states coming home Sugarcoated Jul 2020 #26
Now on to the senate!! mucifer Jul 2020 #27
If those numbers do, in fact, hold true, we should be seeing other states swinging blue also coti Jul 2020 #28
Sample size only 118, likely random flux Cicada Jul 2020 #29
That's a tiny sample - definitely tempers my excitement. lagomorph777 Jul 2020 #31
Oh my..... Happy Hoosier Jul 2020 #30

Music Man

(1,184 posts)
6. Excellent point.
Wed Jul 1, 2020, 01:40 PM
Jul 2020

Most polls show Biden doing better with registered voters than likely voters.

Turnout, turnout turnout.

DrToast

(6,414 posts)
10. Likely voters screens are usually worth 1 or 2 points to the GOP
Wed Jul 1, 2020, 01:47 PM
Jul 2020

However, educated whites and seniors are some of the most reliable voters and there has been a shift to Dems recently. It's unclear if there will be any meaningful difference in registered voters and likely voters this year.

OrlandoDem2

(2,065 posts)
16. The DNC and state Democratic parties must ID new voters and register them NOW!
Wed Jul 1, 2020, 01:54 PM
Jul 2020

The time is running out. We basically have 3 months until early voting starts. We need every current voter and every new voter to VOTE!! That’s what cost us the Blue Wall in 2016...people didn’t vote in Philly, Detroit, or Milwaukee in large enough numbers!!

honest.abe

(8,678 posts)
19. One could argue likely voters could skew towards Biden.
Wed Jul 1, 2020, 01:56 PM
Jul 2020

Many Repub voters are getting tired of Trump and although they might answer a survey they would vote for Trump, going and standing in line to vote for him might be a different story. Biden voters on the other hand are so angry and horrified with this President and so desperately want to get rid of him they would walk through hot coals to vote for Joe.

Johnny2X2X

(19,060 posts)
21. Yes
Wed Jul 1, 2020, 02:02 PM
Jul 2020

They were an outlier before now having the race much closer than most every other poll. I hope they're still an outlier at +8.

But those Swing State numbers are massive.

 

SpaceNeedle

(191 posts)
7. This will be a massive blue blizzard plus a blue tsunami and a blue earthquake
Wed Jul 1, 2020, 01:41 PM
Jul 2020

We will take back the senate at this rate ...

However, let's not be complacent. Act like Biden is 10 points behind and keep at it.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,601 posts)
13. Wow! Let's hope this leads holds
Wed Jul 1, 2020, 01:51 PM
Jul 2020

I imagine it will tighten in coming weeks, but 24 points is a massive hole for Trump to make up.

SWBTATTReg

(22,114 posts)
22. Still not enough for me but this is a hell of a start. To send a clear and overwhelming ...
Wed Jul 1, 2020, 02:03 PM
Jul 2020

message to all repugs and trump, it should be 90% for America and Biden, and 10% for rump and his white racist ilk and the like.

Stomp them into the ground.

tritsofme

(17,377 posts)
24. With numbers like that...is it really fair to call them "battleground" states?
Wed Jul 1, 2020, 02:11 PM
Jul 2020

It looks more like a massacre.

coti

(4,612 posts)
28. If those numbers do, in fact, hold true, we should be seeing other states swinging blue also
Wed Jul 1, 2020, 04:09 PM
Jul 2020

like Texas, Georgia, Missouri, Iowa, etc.

Cicada

(4,533 posts)
29. Sample size only 118, likely random flux
Thu Jul 2, 2020, 08:08 AM
Jul 2020

The number of respondents from the battleground states was only 118. I think this huge advantage for Biden is unreliable.

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