New CNBC Swing State Polls

[edhopper]

Link to tweet

I thought with Biden being a native son, PA lead would be larger.

And Michigan, jeez, how can anybody there still support him?

[Wounded Bear]

1. A lot of red counties out in Pennsyltucky...

Trumplandia.

[edhopper]

2. Apparently

[sabbat hunter]

3. MI

Is home to a lot of KKKers, so they of course wholeheartedly support the orange motherfucker.

[C_U_L8R]

4. Trump doesn't look very viable at all.

Republican funders and voters may as well stay home. And of course, an oversized red clown tie makes lousy coattails. The rest of the GOP is fucked. What will it take for them to publicly howl for a replacement?

[apnu]

8. Nothing. QAnon is on the right flank waiting to jump in.

The GOP will support Trump, they have tat tiger by the tail after all. So they will live or die with aTrump.

[dawg day]

5. I like to see it over 50%

Hope they don't drift back towards hell.

[gratuitous]

6. It ain't over, of course

But at this stage of the game, I'd rather be in Biden's position than Trump's. Though I suppose Donald will blame his loss on lack of name recognition.

[Indykatie]

7. A Note to Remember About Polls - The Methodology Matters

This polls used a "likely voter" model which is always tricky and I would say understates the Dems' strength. Pollsters are using traditional turn out numbers which I say should be thrown out for 2020. I expect Dem turnout to rival 2008 or higher.

[honest.abe]

9. +1

I also do not trust this pollster. They are rated C- at 538 and they often report odd numbers. I suspect Biden is doing even better than these numbers show.