General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsCNN Headline: 99 days 1M Americans infected; 43 days later, 2M Americans infected...
28 days after that, 3M.
If the growth holds, we'll see 4M in two weeks and then 1M new cases per day soon after that...
The only problem is we don't have enough tests to keep up. We are testing 500k per day and in order to detect 4M in two weeks we will need 2.8M tests each day (given that the current positivity rate is on average 9%).
The talk about going back to school is pointless with numbers like this. By end of August, we'll have the majority of Americans infected with hundreds more thousands of dead.
AlexSFCA
(6,255 posts)during those 5 days, the asymptomatic person will continue to shed virus. With 25% positive rate in some areas, contact tracing becomes meaningless. We need 24hr test results at the minimum. This will require enforcing federal power to force use every lab in this country for covid testing plus opening more. Remember, any expense on testing is a pocket change compared to economic impact of not. You want to stop pandemic quick - introduce pool testing as Fauci suggested. And it must MANDATORY.
lindysalsagal
(21,963 posts)anyway? As in, the only viable strategies are:
1. Live in a bubble for the next 7 months, until you get vaccinated?
2. take your chances, Getit, , see if you recover with your lungs intact?
berni_mccoy
(23,018 posts)I dont want to get it as Im high risk...
Leith
(7,850 posts)Maybe more people will self-quarantine as they see the numbers skyrocket..?