The Daily Dread - Tracking the spread, 7/16/20

[calimary]

All times Pacific, source: Johns Hopkins/NBC News

At 8:10am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,580,727
Deaths worldwide - 585,128
Confirmed cases US - 3,522,672
Deaths US - 138,382

At 8:14am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,582,660
Deaths worldwide - 585,145
Confirmed cases US - 3,524,605
Deaths US - 138,399

At 9:02am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,600,974
Deaths worldwide - 585,362
Confirmed cases US - 3,542,919
Deaths US - 138,616

At 11:32am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,605,630
Deaths worldwide - 585,422
Confirmed cases US - 3,547,575
Deaths US - 138,676

[calimary]

1. Update -

At 8:10am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,580,727
Deaths worldwide - 585,128
Confirmed cases US - 3,522,672
Deaths US - 138,382

At 8:14am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,582,660
Deaths worldwide - 585,145
Confirmed cases US - 3,524,605
Deaths US - 138,399

At 9:02am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,600,974
Deaths worldwide - 585,362
Confirmed cases US - 3,542,919
Deaths US - 138,616

At 11:32am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,605,630
Deaths worldwide - 585,422
Confirmed cases US - 3,547,575
Deaths US - 138,676


At 11:54am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,607,212
Deaths worldwide - 585,431
Confirmed cases US - 3,549,157
Deaths US - 138,685

[calimary]

5. Update -

At 8:10am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,580,727
Deaths worldwide - 585,128
Confirmed cases US - 3,522,672
Deaths US - 138,382

At 8:14am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,582,660
Deaths worldwide - 585,145
Confirmed cases US - 3,524,605
Deaths US - 138,399

At 9:02am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,600,974
Deaths worldwide - 585,362
Confirmed cases US - 3,542,919
Deaths US - 138,616

At 11:32am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,605,630
Deaths worldwide - 585,422
Confirmed cases US - 3,547,575
Deaths US - 138,676


At 11:54am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,607,212
Deaths worldwide - 585,431
Confirmed cases US - 3,549,157
Deaths US - 138,685


At 12:12pm
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,608,502
Deaths worldwide - 585,457
Confirmed cases US - 3,550,447
Deaths US - 138,711

[calimary]

12. Update -

At 8:10am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,580,727
Deaths worldwide - 585,128
Confirmed cases US - 3,522,672
Deaths US - 138,382

At 8:14am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,582,660
Deaths worldwide - 585,145
Confirmed cases US - 3,524,605
Deaths US - 138,399

At 9:02am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,600,974
Deaths worldwide - 585,362
Confirmed cases US - 3,542,919
Deaths US - 138,616

At 11:32am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,605,630
Deaths worldwide - 585,422
Confirmed cases US - 3,547,575
Deaths US - 138,676


At 11:54am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,607,212
Deaths worldwide - 585,431
Confirmed cases US - 3,549,157
Deaths US - 138,685


At 12:12pm
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,608,502
Deaths worldwide - 585,457
Confirmed cases US - 3,550,447
Deaths US - 138,711


At 2:04pm
Confirmed cases worldwide - 13,615,273
Deaths worldwide - 585,582
Confirmed cases US - 3,557,218
Deaths US - 138,836

[Dem2theMax]

2. Kicking.

Thank you for posting the data. Much appreciated.

[calimary]

4. You're welcome. I figure it makes for some useful "ammo."

I find it most informative regarding trend-watching. Like, for example, when it's likely we're gonna reach some big new round number. Or, how fast some statistics are increasing - the size and rate of the increase. What really slays me is how it plays out during the 10am and 11am hours, Pacific time. Sometimes the stats just keep ticking upward - within a single minute, or two! Gotta remind, though - that's when the numbers-crunchers, who issue these figures, get the raw data. But seems to me that's also instructive (like, "SHIT! Look how fast that confirmed-cases number grew, in only (X) amount of time!&quot

Just a crazy old nerd here, but if you watch the trending numbers, seems to me that's useful, in getting a fix on where we are, how fast we got there, and what's likely to expect in the days/weeks ahead. There was one instance in which a big "marker number" was expected to be arrived at - by Tuesday of whatever week that was. I'd been looking at number trends all week beforehand, and it didn't seem to be rising as fast as getting us to that number by Tuesday. I said Wednesday. That turned out to be when it happened.

These are just educated guesses. But that's the whole point. EDUCATED guesses.

[Dem2theMax]

6. It's fascinating. SCARY, but fascinating at the same time,

to see how fast those numbers are moving upward.

Math was always my worst subject. Still is. So I really appreciate those of you who understand this stuff and put it out there in a way that people like me can say, 'oh, now I get it!'

And to see the changes within a few hours or a few minutes, that's the scary part.

[calimary]

14. Yeah, welcome to the "Morbid Curiosity Department!

Sheesh. But, I do find myself wanting to know. I want data. Statistics. Figures - and figures over time. I'm curious about how fast a number can grow. And comparatively - a number in one category versus a number in a different category. That certainly holds true in a confirmed cases number versus number of deaths in any one snapshot. Seems like it offers a clearer picture of how good or bad it is, and how fast it's changing - and of course, what direction that change is going.

Totally agree, my friend!

[mvd]

8. Frightening how the US sometimes has over a death per minute!

Yikes.

[alwaysinasnit]

3. Thanks for the updates calimary!

[calimary]

9. You're welcome, my friend!

I hated math all through school. But now I'm turning into a numbers junkie.

Tracking numbers and trends has taken on a whole new importance, here, I think. When you consider every one of those "numbers" is a human being somewhere. A dad. A mom. A grandparent, uncle, aunt. A 30-something. A 20-something. A KID! Somebody's crying over every "number" in the statistics graphic. Somebody's left behind, alone. Somebody's left behind, to struggle with doing right by the kids, by the elderly family member living with them, trying to make a living or find a job that will help keep the wolves away from the door.

And - just watching CNN at the moment - they have officially brought us to the "Now I've Heard Everything" moment (but with this guy in the Oval Office, I'm sure we'll hit more new lows, probably by the hour...):

"Science should not stand in the way" of schools reopening.

W.

T.

F!?!?!?!?!

[alwaysinasnit]

10. I am living with a permanent knot in my throat, and having trouble assimilating how much ugliness

has been let loose. I have to keep reminding myself, "one day at a time." Stay safe my friend!

[calimary]

13. You too, my friend!

Stay safe and healthy.

[mvd]

7. Thanks for updating!

PA isn’t to 100,000 cases yet but will be soon. 781 new cases isn’t near the worst.

https://www.media.pa.gov/Pages/Health-Details.aspx?newsid=914

[calimary]

11. Happy to say Pennsylvania is staying out of the "Top Five," my friend!

And - for comparison's sake - let's go to the states graphics, over three days:

States with Most Cases:
1) New York - TODAY, 12:07pm - 410,065 / YESTERDAY, 10:10am - 409,229 / TUESDAY, 2:15pm: 408,354
2) California - TODAY, 12:07pm - 355,736 / YESTERDAY, 10:10am - 347,208 / TUESDAY, 2:15pm: 336,632
3) Florida - TODAY, 12:07pm - 315,775 / YESTERDAY, 10:10am - 301,810 / TUESDAY, 2:15pm: 291,629
4) Texas - TODAY, 12:07pm - 296,263 / YESTERDAY, 10:10am - 284,363 / TUESDAY, 2:15pm: 271,901
5) New Jersey - TODAY, 12:07pm - 179,317 / YESTERDAY, 10:10am - 178,906 / TUESDAY, 2:15pm: 178,496

New Cases Over Past 72 Hours:
1) Florida - TODAY at 12:08pm - 31,999 / YESTERDAY at 10:10am - 37,118 / TUESDAY, 2:14pm: 38,284
2) California - TODAY at 12:08pm - 28,413 / YESTERDAY (was 3rd) at 10:10am - 22,183 / TUESDAY, 2:14pm: 23,558
3) Texas - TODAY at 12:08pm - 25,705 / YESTERDAY (was 2nd) at 10:10am - 24,596 / TUESDAY, 2:14pm: 24,301
4) Georgia - TODAY at 12:08pm - 10,908 / YESTERDAY at 10:10am - 9,562 / TUESDAY, 2:14pm: 9,358
5) Arizona - TODAY at 12:08pm - 8,887 / YESTERDAY at 10:10am - 8,167 / TUESDAY, 2:14pm: 6,932

Glad Pennsylvania is back in the pack. But - my poor California...