General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsIf you overlay worldometers daily cases and daily deaths graphs and match the general trend shape
it looks like we're about 3 weeks out from 3000 deaths/day.
and in more good news ...
malaise
(268,664 posts)Get thee to the greatest page
Applan
(693 posts)Trumps 9/11 Monday. And Tuesday. And Wednesday. And.......
unblock
(52,113 posts)Assuming we're talking u.s. only.
Obviously, the daily cases chart looks ominous, but getting to 3k daily deaths in just 3 weeks is a huge jump, too much in such a short time. Not to say we won't get there eventually with Donnie death in charge....
bullimiami
(13,074 posts)the deaths lag the case reporting by like 4-6 weeks.
so at something like 20000 cases reported per day we have had around 1000 deaths.
we are now at triple that so it follows that deaths would likely triple.
of course first the infections, then the hospitalizations, then the icu, then the deaths.
maybe we are doing better and it will only be double.
we will see.
unblock
(52,113 posts)The daily cases has tripled in maybe 5 weeks, so it's not unreasonable to figure the daily deaths will triple with a lag of several weeks. So I'm with you on that. But the starting point isn't 1k if you average daily deaths over the course of a week. It's closer to half that. So I'd guess 1.5k on average, with mid-week days sometimes over 2k. We might even break 3k some days, but not 21k deaths over the course of a whole week.
Not yet, anyway. Of course, if the anti-mask terrorism continues, sure....
uponit7771
(90,301 posts)... 30 - 60k hospitalizations getting close which peeked out in April ... then the deaths came.
Takes about 2 months for the deaths to start rolling in after low level NPIs are inacted
we're in for some hurt