This election could still go Thump's way

[nitpicker]

Per the 270 to win site today https://www.270towin.com/maps/consensus-2020-electoral-map-forecast

It picks it as 278 Dem, 169 repug, 91 tossup.

BUT most of the tossup states are secret Repug. My recipe is absent anything happening, add 5 percentage points to Thump's state polling numbers. Under this, I think the only chances for Dem wins in "tossup" states may be in AZ, possibly FL.

BUT PA polls (before the latest) indicate the "lean blue" state could be snatched by Repugs.

We could, if the current map holds, get acting Prez Pence (win AZ but lose PA, 269/269).

Please NO!

[Indykatie]

1. Sorry But I Don't Believe Any Analysis That Shows Repubs Can Win PA - This is Not 2016 and Hillary

is not on the ballot. I'm following James Carville's advice. I won't be scared and nervous that we could have a repeat of 2016. Have folks forgotten what happened in 2018? After that massive shift towards Dems do you really think folks will move back and vote for Trump? I don't. I'm betting on a landslide for Biden.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. I prefer to reduce these things to mathematical probabilities.

If this was a sporting event he would be +700 or 12.5%.

[John Fante]

3. As it stands right now, Trump is facing a spectacular ass-whipping.

Why does everyone assume pollsters haven't tweeked their methodologies so as to avoid the mistakes that plagued them in 2016? Why is everyone assuming that every undecided will break for Trump?

[uponit7771]

5. +1, if we're withing 20% of current polling when all Swing State polling switches go likely voters

... the Red Don and his crew will be calling Bad Vlad for more rubles.

[rockfordfile]

12. It's a long ways to go

[greenjar_01]

4. Oooof. Gonna be a long election season

Can we have a GD-Pessimists Board?

[brooklynite]

6. You're missing the point entirely...

Biden is north of 270 AND the remaining competitive States are opportunities to pick off 2016 Trump wins.

[NotANeocon]

7. They've predicted correctly

- ever since Ronnie Raygun.

https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/Graph_Congress20_jpg.cfm

[stillcool]

8. are there any polls indicating...

what percentage of the American people believe we'll make it to the election?

[tinrobot]

9. 278 is a win, even without tossup states.

I do think we need to keep fighting to win every single state, but your worries are rather misplaced.

[delisen]

10. Male vote still Trump's to lose. Putin deniers not ready for 2020

[JCMach1]

11. Let me keep.saying it- 1932

Is the only example close to the present one

...