New Texas poll hints at 'massive suburban defection' from Trump

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

Several polls have shown that former Vice President Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, is building a lead among suburban voters across the United States. While it may seem unlikely that will be the case in Texas, a new Quinnipiac University poll does provide some evidence that President Trump's suburban support is dwindling there.

The poll, released Wednesday, still shows Trump leading his likely challenger among white voters with a college degree, 49 percent to 42. But The Cook Political Report's Dave Wasserman noted that Trump's support among the same demographic was much higher in 2016 when he ran against Hillary Clinton, suggesting a "massive suburban defection" is on the horizon for the incumbent.

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Overall, the poll is another indicator that Texas could be a close contest in November.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 880 self-identified registered voters in Texas between July 16-20. The margin of error is 3.3 percentage points. Read the full results here.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/texas-poll-hints-massive-suburban-200600016.html

[Blue Owl]

1. Massive defection from the man with massive defects...

Finally something is making sense!

[jorgevlorgan]

2. I will take 5 consecutive shots of something gross

If Texas is called for Biden on election night.


I think it is possible, come 2024 Texas is likely to become a reliably blue state.

[Windy City Charlie]

3. True

True. But if you're polling badly in Texas as a Republican, you've got big problems. They're going to have to work hard to hang on to their most-reliable largest state in electoral votes. Without looking at the breakdown of EVs by state, but IF they lose Texas, safe to say the 5 largest EV states would be blue? That's a lot to overcome!

[jorgevlorgan]

5. Working hard would mean preventing racist policies.

At this point there isn't really any going back on that. Caging children -putting them in camps, separating familes and sicking ice on the American public might be the last straw there. Kinda like how racist laws turned the tide towards democrats in California.

[Windy City Charlie]

6. I meant

By working hard, I meant in terms of spending money on advertising and such to win a state the size of Texas. Which is something they haven't had to do in a presidential election for decades. Texas isn't a state the Republicans can take for granted anymore.

[jorgevlorgan]

8. Yeah. I mean I think that will work for maybe a couple more cycles.

But unless they solve the root of their problem policy-wise, they will probably lose a lot more than Texas.

[Wellstone ruled]

4. As a young kid

in the late Forties,do remember how the Mothers tore a new Orifice into each School Board Member as well as the Superintendent about having Schools open during a major Chicken Pox and Measles out break. All it took was a Rubber Neck Phone Call and that night all hell broke loose.

Nothing more dangerous than a Mother protecting her Kids.

[Hekate]

7. Please fill us in! I never heard about this incident.

I do remember Love Canal, though. It was mothers who went door to door gathering the devastating information about the health of children and their families — and I remember the outrageous dismissal of their efforts as “housewife statistics” on the first pass.

[Wellstone ruled]

9. Rubber Necking is a term

used back in the day of Party line Telephones. Amazing how a small Village in Northwestern Wisconsin could be motivated with in minutes. As a result,School was closed for one week and that is all it took to stop the spread of these two out breaks.

[northoftheborder]

14. I remember having a wicked case of chicken-pox during that time, but don't remember about the.

schools closing.

[Wellstone ruled]

16. One week,

and we had to make that up in the Spring.

[la-trucker]

10. Let's not forget that Beto O'Rourke blazed the trail and paved the roads.

More work needs to be done but my hat's off for Beto. He tackled something then seen as impossible.

[blogslut]

11. This is why I want the Democratic Party to spend money on the WHOLE state

Texas is winner-take-all. Sure, the big cities will vote for Biden, but, if he can pick up enough votes from smaller cities and towns, it adds up. In many ways, I see Texas going to Biden more likely than Texas electing MJ Hegar.

I would like both Joe and MJ to win but, as they say in a song: "I've waited for some things that you would not believe to come true."

[underpants]

12. They've been getting killed in the burbs since Trump took office

Mostly women’s votes. Just killed.

[Awsi Dooger]

15. It's always interesting how things move around

That's why all of the "emerging majority" projections are more fragile than they appear. It's almost like demographic checks and balances.

Trump won suburbs by 4% in 2016. They were Even in 2018. That doesn't sound so dramatic until you realize the definition of suburb is so broad it includes half of the voters. Biden should win suburbs narrowly this time, even by the broadest definition. Check the final category in both exit poll links...all the way at the bottom:

https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls

https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls

[KY_EnviroGuy]

13. Massive suburban infection causes massive suburban defection.

Texas COVID-19 stats: 376,066 Cases / 4,724 Deaths.

As of 7/23/20.


KY.........