538 toss up states

[Tribetime]

Ohio North Carolina Georgia Florida Arizona
Biden at 278

https://www.270towin.com/

[Binkie The Clown]

1. 538?!? Wow. I didn't know we had that many states. nt

[davekriss]

2. Haw ha!

🙂

[Xipe Totec]

3. Link? nt

[Tribetime]

5. Sorry fixed it

[Xipe Totec]

7. Thanks! nt

[KentuckyWoman]

4. https://fivethirtyeight.com/

I had forgotten what that website was and have been trying to remember for days.

Thank you !!!!

[babylonsister]

6. By the time November rolls around, that will

most certainly change.

I live in FL and have read it's turning rapidly. 'Rona will get him after all.

[Lasher]

8. But wait, there's more!

Here's a 270 to Win view that includes multiple sources:

https://www.270towin.com/2020-election-forecast-predictions/

[GulfCoast66]

9. I'm in Florida. I would call it lean Democratic.

If not likely.

Our base will crawl over glass to vote this man out.

And know several people who either voted for trump who sat it out who are voting Biden.

We are 100 days out and that may change. But I doubt it. I am more optimistic than I was about Obama in 12. Which he won.

[Tribetime]

10. I agree with you

I think the only one'sthat may be a true toss-ups are Ohio and Georgia.I think North Carolina and Arizona are probably at least a tilt blue

[Fiendish Thingy]

12. Does Florida have early voting? Nt

[GulfCoast66]

15. Yep. And mail in as well.

[Jarqui]

11. That suggests that several states are not battleground states:

Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, Virginia, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania

I presume they're giving Texas and Iowa to the Republicans - that I think are in play.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/9Relm

If Trump doesn't resign, he'll be pushing a vaccine he's discovered as his October surprise.

[Wednesdays]

14. A vaccine won't turn an election

It would have to be something big. Like really, REALLY big. Like 9/11 big.

[Jarqui]

16. I don't think so either

But like hydroxychloroquine, you can count on Trump trying something like that.
He's desperate. Facing jail.
But that BS will tighten the race.

[Takket]

13. i'm surprised texas isn't called a tossup

Biden has lead every poll i've seen from there by a small margin but he has been ahead.

edit: oh okay i see the polling map now is different. that one looks accurate.

[Midnight Writer]

17. I'm holding out for Kentucky. Please oh please let's have a big sweep of Kentucky.