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avebury

(10,952 posts)
Fri Jul 31, 2020, 08:37 AM Jul 2020

These 13 states need to lock down now, according to Harvard coronavirus experts

https://news.yahoo.com/these-are-the-13-states-that-need-to-lock-down-now-according-to-harvard-coronavirus-experts-162201179.html

A report released this week by the Trump administration’s coronavirus task force warns that 21 states are now in the “red zone” and need to take aggressive steps to slow the spread of COVID-19.

That sounds serious. But according to new, comprehensive national guidelines from a network of research, policy and public-health experts convened by Harvard University’s Global Health Institute and Edmond J. Safra Center for Ethics, the latest federal report probably isn’t serious enough.

Why? Because the steps it recommends may be too weak to suppress the virus, and the threshold at which it recommends them may be too high.

The Trump task force, for instance, doesn’t advise authorities to issue stay-at-home orders — anywhere. But if the Harvard experts had their way, 13 states would lock down right now. Another 22 would be considering lockdowns.

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In contrast, the Harvard group says that “at the red level, jurisdictions have reached a tipping point for uncontrolled spread and will require the use of stay-at-home orders and/or advisories to mitigate the disease.”

Right now, that would mean 13 of the Trump task force’s 21 red-zone states returning to lockdown: Florida (with a staggering 48.1 new daily cases per 100,000 people), Louisiana (46.2), Mississippi (43.5), Alabama (39.1), Arizona (36.6), Tennessee (34.1), Georgia (33.8), Nevada (33.0), South Carolina (30.1), Texas (27.9), Idaho (27.5), Arkansas (26.4) and Oklahoma (25.6).

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Not only will Oklahoma Governor Stitt not order a full lockdown, he is pushing for schools to reopen.
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These 13 states need to lock down now, according to Harvard coronavirus experts (Original Post) avebury Jul 2020 OP
Nine of which The Wizard Jul 2020 #1
Don't see it happening, here are the states (clip and paste) RazzleCat Jul 2020 #2
Not only are they not locking down, AirmensMom Jul 2020 #3
Stitt is a moron just like Trump, no way he closes Oklahoma. redstatebluegirl Jul 2020 #4
GA is bordered by TN, AL, FL, SC (and also NC, which isn't on the list). CottonBear Jul 2020 #5
The whole country needs to lockdown. A bitter pill, but the only way to really control spread. Pobeka Jul 2020 #6
+1 crickets Jul 2020 #7
Yes! With no interstate traffic, period! AwakeAtLast Jul 2020 #8

RazzleCat

(732 posts)
2. Don't see it happening, here are the states (clip and paste)
Fri Jul 31, 2020, 08:52 AM
Jul 2020

Right now, that would mean 13 of the Trump task force’s 21 red-zone states returning to lockdown: Florida (with a staggering 48.1 new daily cases per 100,000 people), Louisiana (46.2), Mississippi (43.5), Alabama (39.1), Arizona (36.6), Tennessee (34.1), Georgia (33.8), Nevada (33.0), South Carolina (30.1), Texas (27.9), Idaho (27.5), Arkansas (26.4) and Oklahoma (25.6).

The other eight task force red-zone states — California (23.5), Missouri (22.0), North Dakota (18.2), North Carolina (18.1), Utah (17.9), Iowa (16.3), Wisconsin (15.7) and Kansas (14.2) — would fall into Harvard’s orange zone.

Notice how red they are? One exception is California. So as always under him, its going to get worse. I know some are starting to trend blue, but the current representation of them is red.

AirmensMom

(14,642 posts)
3. Not only are they not locking down,
Fri Jul 31, 2020, 09:01 AM
Jul 2020

but at least here in TN, except that some counties now have a mask mandate, little will change. Schools are opening. This will be my daughter's first semester of teaching full-time at a university and will have to do most of it in person. I'm beyond upset about it.

I mean, if it was bad enough after Spring Break to send everyone home, who the fuck thinks it's ok to keep things open now? I've been tracking it since March 10 and can tell you that the numbers are increasing very fast.

I rarely leave the house and yard. My husband does the grocery shopping wearing mask and gloves and I wash everything when it comes into the house We're trying hard to be careful. Still, I will be surprised if it's enough when so many other people are acting like it's no big deal.

CottonBear

(21,596 posts)
5. GA is bordered by TN, AL, FL, SC (and also NC, which isn't on the list).
Fri Jul 31, 2020, 09:51 AM
Jul 2020

We are so screwed. AL (!) has a mask mandate, but FL, TN & SC don’t.

Public and private K-12 schools, colleges, and university are going to reopen for in-person classes in many Georgia communities starting in August.

Thankfully, our local school district will be having classes online. However, teachers will be teaching from their classrooms.

AwakeAtLast

(14,124 posts)
8. Yes! With no interstate traffic, period!
Fri Jul 31, 2020, 10:13 PM
Jul 2020

I know that sounds harsh, too, but I think that is what has to happen!

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