Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

Liberal_in_LA

(44,397 posts)
Thu Sep 20, 2012, 06:24 PM Sep 2012

Romney Has Lost. The Senate Battle Is What Really Matters.



Nobody in the media wants to say it—because we have too much fun calling the play-by-play—but the presidential race is over. After more than a year of watching Mitt Romney, very few undecided voters remain. Despite the significant dissatisfaction with where we are and where we are heading, Romney simply cannot sell the public that he is the guy to move us forward. His missteps and awkward moments are too many to catalog here, but suffice to say that an empty vessel cannot be elected president of the United States.

It is equally certain that the Democrats will not retake the House. Despite massive public dissatisfaction with Congress and the failure of the Republican Party to articulate a coherent program, there are simply not enough districts in play to argue that the House could flip back. Credit gerrymandering and the latent power of incumbency for the probability that John Boehner returns as speaker.

So the Senate is the real game in town. The odds are that the Democrats retain control, since Massachusetts, Missouri, and Virginia are now pretty strongly trending toward Elizabeth Warren, Claire McCaskill, and Tim Kaine, respectively, and Bill Nelson is looking comfortable in Florida. It’s hard to envision the Republicans winning the magic four pickups they need.


http://www.slate.com/blogs/spitzer/2012/09/20/filibuster_reform_romney_has_lost_the_battle_turns_to_the_senate_.html
8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Romney Has Lost. The Senate Battle Is What Really Matters. (Original Post) Liberal_in_LA Sep 2012 OP
The coat tails can be extended, and there is still time for r0mn$y to alienate more of his base. geckosfeet Sep 2012 #1
please do not encourage complacency banned from Kos Sep 2012 #2
Obama will win even if we don't vote. Liberal_in_LA Sep 2012 #5
Ha! Thanks. VOTE VOTE VOTE banned from Kos Sep 2012 #7
While optimistic, let's don't get ahead of ourselves. He's got something like 50 million $$ for Fall hlthe2b Sep 2012 #3
They've got work to do Ebadlun Sep 2012 #4
This message was self-deleted by its author AnotherMcIntosh Sep 2012 #6
we need to tie all the GOP policies to disdain of the 47%. Fresh_Start Sep 2012 #8

geckosfeet

(9,644 posts)
1. The coat tails can be extended, and there is still time for r0mn$y to alienate more of his base.
Thu Sep 20, 2012, 06:26 PM
Sep 2012

hlthe2b

(114,164 posts)
3. While optimistic, let's don't get ahead of ourselves. He's got something like 50 million $$ for Fall
Thu Sep 20, 2012, 06:29 PM
Sep 2012

and I can remember so many of us thinking that GWBush* would NEVER end up in the WH.

I know this is the comment of the Sptizer article and not yourself, but I am seeing DUers starting to post similar....

Ebadlun

(336 posts)
4. They've got work to do
Thu Sep 20, 2012, 06:31 PM
Sep 2012
http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-09-04/exclusive-how-karl-roves-super-pac-plays-the-senate

Rove handled the Senate math. Republicans need four seats to gain a majority, and Rove said he’s hopeful the party can pick up three from Nebraska, North Dakota, Wisconsin, and Virginia. Between New Mexico, Hawaii, and Connecticut, he added, “we’ve got a shot to take at least one.”


So, even with no Dem pickups, they're only looking to get two out of the first lot of four as polls currently stand, and maybe two out of the second three.

But with Maine going not-GOP, and Dem pickups in Mass. and possibly Indiana, that's not going to do it for them.

Response to Liberal_in_LA (Original post)

Fresh_Start

(11,366 posts)
8. we need to tie all the GOP policies to disdain of the 47%.
Thu Sep 20, 2012, 07:00 PM
Sep 2012

jobs for veterans, heck no-more disdain of the 47%
cuts to programs to help families- more disdain of the 47%
etc.....

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Romney Has Lost. The Sena...