Coronavirus fatigue - voters getting used to a new normal - polls tightening.

[Doodley]

Just an observation, looking at 538, that polls have tightened a little in the last week. Trump's approval has improved, not looking like he will dip below 40%, he's a little tighter with Biden, state polls a little tighter, slim leads have gone in Georgia and Texas.

It seems over one thousand dying a day of Covid isn't shocking enough. We all know that Trump is responsible for most of the deaths. We know examples that show he is mentally incapable of uniting America or helping to solve our problems. We know the damage he has caused to America and our relationship with our allies. But what do you think the Biden campaign need to do to get the message across?

[PSPS]

1. LOL. Yes, we much create a horse race! Stat! Need clicks/viewers. Need ad revenue!

[regnaD kciN]

2. The polling average has shown Biden up by 7.8% to 8.2% for some time...

...so it's currently within range. What's been most notable about the race so far is that it's been surprisingly stable -- there haven't been any sudden swings in favor of one candidate or another. Given that, it seems virtually everybody has already made up their minds, and it's unlikely that any but the most dramatic events imaginable will change the current state of the election (which doesn't mean we don't need to work like mad to GOTV, however).

[Doodley]

6. I agree, but why couldn't democratic lawmakers and the Joe campaign push Trump

to below 40%, instead of seeing an uptick. He's the worst president ever and they can't do more damage to him?

[PTWB]

13. Really? Lol, okay.

[RDANGELO]

7. The only thing we have to worry about is getting those mail in ballots counted!

Trump is going to try to stop it. He is sabotaging the Post Office.

[Buckeye_Democrat]

12. "Breaking news!"

"The FBI is investigating Biden for sniffing shampoo before returning the opened bottles to store shelves, a public health concern."



I tend to agree that most people have already made up their minds, though.

[Loki Liesmith]

3. Don't mistake noise for trend.

When you’re at your support floor upside fluctuation is more probable than downside fluctuations.

[Wanderlust988]

4. The fundamentals of the race haven't changed

A point here or there is just fluctuations. The economy is in the tank and corona is spreading around like mayo on a sandwich. He might've scored some brownie points with some of his wayward GOP base with his all new fake corona briefings, but most Americans have checked out on him. I wouldn't worry about poll tightenings unless there was something dramatic happening. Also, I expect Joe to get a bump when he announces his VP and after the convention.

[BigmanPigman]

5. When schools open and Covid spreads big time...

and it will, the polls will represent the change in opinion. Soon it will be different. Grandma and Grandpa will get sick from the grand kids and won't be able to take care of the them since the schools are closed due to quarentining for two weeks (over and over and over). Mom and Dad can't work very well from home or in the office because now they have to take care of the kids as well as help to teach them remotely. No money coming in, only going out. Yes, the polls will reflect this. Wait...and watch.

[Amishman]

8. Not to mention the looming economic crunch

As struggling businesses reach the default point on debts and go under.

[Fiendish Thingy]

9. Polls have tightened because two RW outliers were published this week

Give it another week before assuming it’s a trend.

[Awsi Dooger]

10. These polls would be fine if not for silly projections

General elections are not like a yo-yo. There is no such thing as letting out the string and gaining another 5-10 points.

Ideology regulates federal races in both directions. There is a very defined window. At roughly 8 points ahead we are already near outer edge of our window.

Texas is not going to happen. The state is 43-44% conservatives. The Democrat never wins when that number is above 37%.

All the Texas money should be devoted to Florida, which is a more pivotal state, and one we should win at only 36% conservatives, except the GOP routinely out works us in this state along with a superior grasp of the Hispanic vote. I see we recently hired a coordinator of that Hispanic vote. How can it be happening in August 2020 and not August 2019?

[agingdem]

11. no one is getting used to to this and this is not the new normal

the new normal comes when covid flattens and we can take off our masks and hug a friend...as for the OMG THE POLLS ARE TIGHTENING in Georgia and Texas...I can tell you this...my daughter lives in Atlanta and people in Atlanta are pissed...they're pissed at Trump and the senate stooges and Kemp..and the Biden yard signs far out number the orange maggot's..my grandson lives in Austin and he said he can touch the anger...Trump, Abbott, Mitch not getting any "love" in Texas...

[greyl]

14. Irresponsible to publish that without links to the polls you cite as "evidence" nt

[secondwind]

15. It's early still , wait until after Labor Day.

Biden is doing everything right, biding his time, putting out some ads etc. Just wait until Barack jumps in to help out, and Michelle et al. We don’t have a VP yet, either.

TRUMP WILL BE TOAST

[malaise]

16. BS n/t

[mfcorey1]

17. This is crap!!!

[MFM008]

18. Someone

Is always screaming the polls are tightening.
Its the medias job to horse race this.
Lets let the covid thing play out.
Biden hasnt even picked a running mate .
Lets not ignite ourselves in the street yet.