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Upthevibe

(8,012 posts)
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 12:57 PM Aug 2020

Which Senate Seats are currently

the most flippable? I have friends wanting to make donations.....(I went to DU's Kentucky forum and there's not a whole lot of activity. Does Amy McGrath have a chance to be McConnell)?

I went to DU's Kentucky forum and there's not a whole lot of activity. Does Amy McGrath have a chance to beat McConnell?

In any case, I'd be very appreciative for any feedback...

Thank you!

30 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Which Senate Seats are currently (Original Post) Upthevibe Aug 2020 OP
TX's MJ Hegar running against Cornyn. She can use the help. onetexan Aug 2020 #1
onetexan..... Upthevibe Aug 2020 #2
Sadly Alabama's Doug Jones Polybius Aug 2020 #3
Polybius...That's a bummer.... Upthevibe Aug 2020 #4
If he got in during a special election treestar Aug 2020 #8
Actually it's the reverse Polybius Aug 2020 #10
That's odd, because one thing Republicans usually do treestar Aug 2020 #12
Roy Moore being a huge creep definitely depressed R turnout. Ace Rothstein Aug 2020 #15
They sat out because Roy Moore had credible child molestation scandals. PTWB Aug 2020 #16
Maine, Colorado are 2 of th em MiniMe Aug 2020 #5
Keep our eye on the ball bottomofthehill Aug 2020 #6
bottomofthehill....... Upthevibe Aug 2020 #22
More then people think judeling Aug 2020 #7
judeling... Upthevibe Aug 2020 #24
the party is going with Al Gross judeling Aug 2020 #30
A few I know of. qwlauren35 Aug 2020 #9
qwlauren35.... Upthevibe Aug 2020 #25
Bernie had a virtual Town Hall today... WITHOUT Amy McGrath but WITH Booker (her primary opponent)... NurseJackie Aug 2020 #11
Our friend Bernie... Hekate Aug 2020 #13
It's a mystery. NurseJackie Aug 2020 #20
Why is he campaigning with/for someone who already lost his primary and is no longer a candidate? George II Aug 2020 #19
Those priorities do not match mine. I think it's more important to help McGrath defeat McConnell. NurseJackie Aug 2020 #21
NurseJackie... Upthevibe Aug 2020 #26
13 were at one time flippable Celerity Aug 2020 #14
celerity... Upthevibe Aug 2020 #27
In order... brooklynite Aug 2020 #17
+1000 Celerity Aug 2020 #18
brooklynite.... Upthevibe Aug 2020 #28
Go here Trumpocalypse Aug 2020 #23
Trumpocalpse.... Upthevibe Aug 2020 #29

Upthevibe

(8,012 posts)
2. onetexan.....
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 01:17 PM
Aug 2020

Thank you...I had heard that Cornyn is in danger...

Is Texas considered a swing state now?

Upthevibe

(8,012 posts)
4. Polybius...That's a bummer....
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 01:24 PM
Aug 2020

Is that considered insurmountable? I don't really have a lot of context....

treestar

(82,383 posts)
8. If he got in during a special election
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 01:31 PM
Aug 2020

which have low turnouts, there is hope for a regular one Presidential year. We have to work on that one. People did when he was elected.

Polybius

(15,334 posts)
10. Actually it's the reverse
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 06:06 PM
Aug 2020

Republicans largely sat out that election, and Democrats were highly motivated. Being that this is a presidential election year, every Republican will be voting. Especially with Trump at the top of the ticket, who’s very popular in Alabama.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
12. That's odd, because one thing Republicans usually do
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 06:58 PM
Aug 2020

is vote. They don't complain about not being inspired, they get out and vote and vote for the lower offices and such.

 

PTWB

(4,131 posts)
16. They sat out because Roy Moore had credible child molestation scandals.
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 07:22 PM
Aug 2020

And even then it was close.

MiniMe

(21,709 posts)
5. Maine, Colorado are 2 of th em
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 01:28 PM
Aug 2020

Lets get Susan Collins out, and Cory Gardner. Both of them are in trouble. Would love to see Lindsey Graham lose, he is in a bit of trouble, but in SC, I hate to say it, but I doubt the black guy can beat him. I think we will take Arizona. Not sure who else, but I think the Dems are favored to win the Senate. I think Montana is another possibility.

bottomofthehill

(8,318 posts)
6. Keep our eye on the ball
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 01:29 PM
Aug 2020

North Carolina close

South Carolina close

Kansas close

Montana close

Don’t forget we Probably need to pick up 4 seats if Alabama flips So we need one of the above and as many more as we can pry away.

Maine Good pick up opportunity
Arizona Good pick up opportunity
Colorado Good pick up opportunity.


Georgia wish list
Texas wish list


Upthevibe

(8,012 posts)
22. bottomofthehill.......
Sun Aug 16, 2020, 05:40 PM
Aug 2020

Thank you...

.....So maybe as possibilities:

Arizona - Mark Kelly
Colorado - Hickenlooper
Maine - Sara Gideon
Montana - Steve Bullock

Maybe at least a chance:

Georgia - Raphael Warnock
Iowa - Theresa Greenfield
N. Carolina - Cal Cunningham
S. Carolina - Jaime Harrison
Texas -M.J. Hager

Do you know if Amy McGrath stands a chance against McConnell? I have a friend who donated $50 to her campaign this week. My feeling is that we need to be REALLY pragmatic and strategic. As much as we'd frickin' LOVE to see McConnell gone, I think money should go to the campaigns with a real shot. I mean we REALLY need to take back the Senate (as though those of us on DU don't know that - duh)..




judeling

(1,086 posts)
7. More then people think
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 01:30 PM
Aug 2020

But I'd give some consideration to a couple of races just off the Radar.

Right now I'd point you to Kansas and Alaska.

Upthevibe

(8,012 posts)
24. judeling...
Sun Aug 16, 2020, 05:55 PM
Aug 2020

I forgot about Kansas. I had Kansas Democrat - Barbara Bollier scribbled in my notes.

Alaska - It looks like the primary for the Democrats is 8/18 -(The incumbent Republican is running unopposed)

Edgar Blatchford, Al Gross, and Chris Cummings appear to be running against Dan Sullivan (R) (it's kind of confusing because it looks like at least one of these guys is an Independent).

judeling

(1,086 posts)
30. the party is going with Al Gross
Sun Aug 16, 2020, 07:15 PM
Aug 2020

It will be an interesting race and party has a bunch of different meanings up there.

O image the USPS debacle will play very well there.

qwlauren35

(6,145 posts)
9. A few I know of.
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 01:43 PM
Aug 2020

Sara Gideon has a chance against Susan Collins.

Jaime Harrison has a longshot against Lindsey Graham.

I keep hearing that McGrath doesn't have a chance against McConnell, but she's definitely raising some money.

All of the articles I have found state the incumbent, and not the opposer. So, I can't tell you any other names. But here is a good article.

https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings

The states to watch are AZ, CO, GA, IA, ME, MT, NC.

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
11. Bernie had a virtual Town Hall today... WITHOUT Amy McGrath but WITH Booker (her primary opponent)...
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 06:15 PM
Aug 2020

Bernie had a virtual Town Hall today... WITHOUT Amy McGrath but WITH Booker (her primary opponent). I thought that was strange. It's unclear, however, if Bernie neglected to include her for some unknown reason, or if perhaps she had other commitments and couldn't make it. Or maybe she didn't want to participate. --- I wonder what the story is.

(I think some star reporter from Politico should get on this right away.)


NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
21. Those priorities do not match mine. I think it's more important to help McGrath defeat McConnell.
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 09:03 PM
Aug 2020

But that's just me.

Celerity

(43,097 posts)
14. 13 were at one time flippable
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 07:19 PM
Aug 2020

Colorado we will win

Arizona we will win


then the ones we should win but are not as sure


North Carolina

Maine

Montana

Iowa



then the ones that we have decent shots at, but not at all a sure thing


Georgia Regular

Kansas


more of a long shot

Georgia special


then the pretty much little to no chance


Alaska (we have no Dem running, it is an independent, Gross to challenge the Rethug Sullivan, this has the best chance of these 4 to maybe, in a perfect world, flip)

Texas

Tennessee (Tim McGraw refusing to run, for the 2nd time in 2 years, and for an open seat both times, really screwed us)

Kentucky

brooklynite

(94,333 posts)
17. In order...
Sat Aug 15, 2020, 07:23 PM
Aug 2020

Kelly (AZ) already won (doesn't need money)
Hickenlooper (CO) already won
Gideon (ME) leading
Cunningham (NC) leading)
Greenfield (IA) competitive
Bullock (MT) competitive
Ossoff (GA-1) competitive
Gross (AK) competitive
Bollier (KS) stretch
Warnock (GA-2) stretch
McGrath (KY) longshot
Harrison (SC) longshot
Hegar (TX) longshot

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