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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDemocratic Enthusiasm Increases Dramatically in Swing States-------Gallup Poll
Enthusiasm for voting in this year's election has climbed substantially since June among Democrats in the all important "swing states".
In June, Democrats lagged behind Republicans and that created a very dangerous "enthusiasm gap". These numbers, according to Gallup, have reversed substantially by party affiliation.
Democrats were behind Republicans in voting enthusiasm by a 55% to 53% margin. According to Gallup, those numbers are now 73% (+20%) to 64% (+9%) in favor of the Democrats.
This latest poll was conducted between 9/11 and 9/17, just before the "47%" tape.
Link:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/157547/democratic-enthusiasm-swells-swing-states-nationally.aspx
Tarheel_Dem
(31,233 posts)questionseverything
(9,651 posts)hard to believe it is even this close
questionseverything
(9,651 posts)Obama has jumped to a commanding 49-44% lead in the latest state polls and has 320 expected electoral votes based on the win probabilities.... The 500 trial Monte Carlo simulation indicates that if the election were held today, he would have a 100% probability of winning the electoral vote (he won all 500 election simulation trials). But its still too early to project him the winner. Expect an October Surprise.
louis c
(8,652 posts)calimary
(81,220 posts)Glad you're here! Nate Silver's blog sees a favorable trend in electoral votes as well.
NEVER MIND!!!! DO NOT GET COMPLACENT!!!!!!! We need you, and we've all gotta work our little patooties off to make sure President Obama gets a second term!!!! DON'T TAKE ANYTHING FOR GRANTED!!!!
Now get to work.
questionseverything
(9,651 posts)The public must be able to see and authenticate these four essential steps for an election to be public, democratic, and valid: (1) Who can vote (voter list); (2) Who did vote (3) The original count; (4) Chain of custody.////those are bev harris's words but i believe them and am hoping to spread that message so Americans can protect their elections,not just of the Presidental race but the down ballots races as well...the link i posted earlier shows the work of a math guy that says "the recorded vote in 2008 showed Obama winning by 9.5 million but the exit polls showed him winning by 23 million"..seperately investigative reporter Greg Palast says approximately 4 million Obama votes were not counted in 08...now wether the math guy is correct or palast is correct or even if the recorded totals were correct...we will never know because we the public can not authenticate the four parts of elections for ourselves.
so yes progressives have to work harder to overcome what we can not control