****DAILY USC DORNSIFE POLL FOR AUG 29****

[macwriter]

Last edited Sun Aug 30, 2020, 05:00 PM - Edit history (1)

USC Dornsife is a daily head to head Biden v Trump poll.
https://election.usc.edu/

AUG 28 -- BIDEN -- 52.85
TRUMP -- 40.51

AUG 29 -- BIDEN -- 53.53
TRUMP -- 39.87

Add to this: ABC/IPSOS pOLLING INDICATES THAT THERE WAS NO TRUMP BOUNCE.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/8/30/1973510/-A-new-ABC-Ipsos-poll-shows-NO-Trump-post-convention-bounce

Don't believe the hype that there's a bounce for Trump or the numbers are tightening.

Stay enthused, stay vigilant, VOTE and ORGANIZE like we're 10 points behind, but don't let them gaslight us.

[jcgoldie]

1. Yeah but betting markets say the sky is falling...

Shouldn't we panic and abandon support for all protest against racist police action because some rednecks in the trailer park don't like black lives matter?

[Thekaspervote]

6. Looking just now at one of the betting markets it has dropped yes, but is inline with the ntl polls

[Tribetime]

19. I just wonder if one person or group of people

Placed large bets. Like the day Kamala was selected. The only way drumph can be elected is by rigging the election.

[idziak4ever1234]

2. I'm done with polls. I'm going with my gut. This election will be decided weeks after Nov 3.

And trump will get friendly verdicts from corrupt judges he appointed.

[Thekaspervote]

4. Oh pleeease.. can we not have anything positive?

[idziak4ever1234]

7. I was positive four years ago and had my heart ripped out.

I have been depressed for four years and I will never let that "silent majority" sneak up behind me and club me on the back of the head.

[bearsfootball516]

24. They aren't silent, and they're far from the majority.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

33. +1. Tremendous headwind. Like a punch in gut last night

hearing intelligence say Russia, Iran and China influencing election. Add in the travesty of trump impairing the post office. Add in that we can't campaign as usual with big rallies. Add in that people will be afraid to go to polls due to Covid. Will be happily shocked if we make it to other side.

Trump has committed hundreds of crimes but only was punished for one which is rarely even mentioned. When people see that...they figure, well guess he's not that bad if no one did anything.

Like watching your favorite team take an early lead and just holding your breath that it isn't gone by the end of the game.

[jcgoldie]

9. ahhh the old "gut method"

Very scientific. Why spend all of this time asking people who they plan to vote for when we could all just refer to our gastrointestinal tract?

[idziak4ever1234]

10. ? That is a very odd thing to say.

[Wednesdays]

12. Unrec. nt

[Codeine]

15. I guess we should all give up, then.

Internet Rando uses his colon to predict the future; the universe is shaken to its very foundations.

[Thekaspervote]

3. Thx for posting! Yes...let's stay focus on the positive

Go Joe..go Kamala!

[quaker bill]

5. my gut says the same

the RNC played well to the already converted, pretty much nowhere else.

[samsingh]

8. we need to vote up and down the ticket and make the traitor trump lose by a landslide

that will allow the country to eliminate trumpism definitively.

[Wounded Bear]

11. Stay vigilant, not vigilante...

[ancianita]

21. +1

[Aepps22]

13. Keep Working

We just need to keep working. Don't get too high or low but stay focused.

[Demsrule86]

30. Right...it has never been a belief that you will win that limits the vote, but just the opposite...

discouraged voters just give up. So having confidence and working hard to win goes hand in hand...but doom and gloom cost votes.

[MatthewG.]

14. AGREED!

Everyone in media wants a horse race, and of course Republicans want to believe they will win. But nothing in the fundamentals has changed.

Trump is a known quantity at this point. Conventions won’t change that.

Obviously Trump has a non-trivial chance of winning, and complacency is unwarranted, but smart money is on Biden, as it has been for months.

[Roland99]

17. The Democracy Institute and the Trafalgar polls he's been retweeting

are outliers at best

Trafalgar is rated C- by 538

Democracy Institute didn’t have a rating but it was founded by a CATO wonk

[TheRickles]

27. 538 says they "have reason to believe that they (DI) are a fake pollster...."

Not just outliers - they may also be "fabricating data"
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100213996828.

[Roland99]

32. ha! wouldn't surprise me in the least!

[hedda_foil]

34. 404 File not found -- meaning a new poster was removed.

[TheRickles]

36. That's strange

Do you have any idea why that might have happened? Earlier today, the link to the earlier DU OP showed the 538 site's tweet about DI. There was no rant or strong language, just passing on some information.

[ashredux]

18. One word.....Senate

[ancianita]

22. The Senate can't change a thing if a hostile party's president won't sign. Two words, then.

[ashredux]

23. Democrats will certainly control the house.....

Democrats will certainly control the house, and if we could take the Senate, you can actually get the son of a bitch impeached this time....if he cheats to a win

[ancianita]

26. And replaced by whom? Then what. Signings?

[Patterson]

28. That would take 67 senators. We will be lucky to get 51.

[Qutzupalotl]

35. McConnell avoided a public airing of evidence.

Schumer won't. That will move public opinion and could pressure reluctant R Senators.

[Demsrule86]

29. No you can't. You need 2/3 of the Senate to impeach a president . And to impeach a newly

elected president would cause us to lose two years later. We won't get 2/3 of the Senate.

[shotten99]

20. Don't take it for granted, give it another few days to reflect the convention.

Lower ratings doesn't mean lower turnout. I'm using this as incentive to make another donation

[Seasider]

25. Conservatives new defense is that all the polls are wrong because

There's a large contingent of closet Trump voters who are lying to pollsters because they're ashamed to admit publicly they're for Trump but when they cast their ballot, it will be for Trump and everyone is going to be shocked again on election day.

[calimary]

31. What always helps me stay focused AND, more importantly, MOTIVATED.

is the awareness that they’re HOPING we’ll get tired and realize that it’s useless to keep fighting ... and so we just give up. (And maybe just go away).

That is what they want.

You hear it all over. Anyone notice the talking point that’s started to seep into the national consciousness? The “exhausted” thing? “I’m exhausted.” “This is exhausting.” “We’re becoming exhausted...”

THAT’S what they want. It makes conquest easier. It makes a takeover easier. You don’t have to work as hard or lose as much energy/blood/fighters/operatives/strategies when you’ve worn the opposition down because THEY do the finishing for you. THEY get tired or frustrated and THEY give up. Futility can be the offenders’ best friend. It closes the deal with less cost and/or effort.

And the mentality here seems pretty basic. They’re essentially lazy and self-entitled, so they really don’t want to have to work that hard. It should be easy, because, well, THEY are the masters, THEY are the Alpha, and they’re the entitled. THEY are the “chosen” because their “king” is the chosen one. He even said so during one of those impromptu White House outdoor press gaggles, half-joking about it. Uh-huh. Joking my ass.

So, better to just overwhelm and exhaust the opponent. They think, anyway. The opponent will get tired, frustrated, and most-preferably, dispirited, and give up. Or give up and go away. Or, most-preferably, give in.

Well, I WON’T!!!

I REFUSE!!!

I WILL NOT PLAY!!! Or, in this case, GET played.

They want us to get tired, overwhelmed, exhausted, worn down. And giving up. So they can just roll on over us and flatten us and rule.

And I. WON’T. DO. IT. No matter how tired or frustrated or despondent it may make me feel. That’s what they want.

So I AIN’T GIVIN’ IT TO ‘EM.

I. WON’T. PLAY.