Democratic Firm Predicts 'Red Mirage' and 'Chaos' on Election Night

[RandySF]

Hawkfish, the political data agency funded by Michael Bloomberg, is predicting “chaos” as the presidential election votes are tallied, Axios reports.

“We believe that on Election Night, we are going to see Donald Trump in a stronger position than the reality actually is,” Hawkfish CEO Josh Mendelsohn said, calling the phenomenon a “red mirage.”

That’s because Trump will win “potentially in a landslide” from in-person Election Day votes, “but lose a week later” as mail ballots are counted.


https://politicalwire.com/2020/08/31/democratic-firm-predicts-red-mirage-and-chaos/

[Alliepoo]

1. Yeeeeeeaaaahhh- I don't know about all that.

[Laelth]

2. That's pretty horrifying.

Sadly, it is supported by the data from a recent poll showing that Democrats are far more likely to vote by mail.



-Laelth

[SCantiGOP]

12. It seems very likely Trump will win the live vote

That way FOX can declare him the winner and he can say that the election is over.

[greenjar_01]

3. Based on the massive influx of trolls around the Internet sites I frequent (ahem)

I expect similar hacking and nonsense as last time.

[Thekaspervote]

10. This...see the link for more sketchy who knows

They pushed Biden to hire them, they said no

The article from Axios is a description of a bit of a jumbled organization that can’t quite make its mind up who they are


https://www.axios.com/biden-bloomberg-hawkfish-e8f79df6-475c-4077-bba2-3838e3008a11.html

[Stuart G]

4. This is absurd. Trump will lose by at least 10 percent. He is a fool, a bigot, and killer.

...Our country has watched 180,000 people die, and the federal government did almost nothing. Trump leads the federal government ........and is responsible for .."almost nothing."

It is so obvious that Trump cares only about himself, that it won't be close. Too many republicans have openly stated that they will not vote for Trump. By 9:30pm ET the landslide will be clear to all, even though the West Coast hasn't even finished voting. I stated this earlier, but it will be truth.

[RandySF]

14. Ten percent? Not a chance.

[Stuart G]

30. Yes, there is a chance. Here is why. It has nothing to do with approval,

or polls, or anything else.

When average people go into vote, they will think about the lies, and deaths; then they will say, "Let's give someone else a chance...enough."

Yes, Biden will win by at least 10 percent. Exact opposite of McGovern in 72. McGovern was a very incompetent campaigner and leader of Democrats.

...Trump is a total incompetent President of the United States. 180,000 deaths, many not necessary.

Who gets blamed for the federal government's incompetence?...not me, not you..Donald Trump that is who

....Trump will be a looser by 10 percent maybe more. not 55 just to 45..but maybe 60 to 40.. But I will be glad to admit that I am totally wrong on election night or the next day. Hey, I have admitted so before, and will again...................................................................................
.......................................................Will you be there to say you were wrong?

[Awsi Dooger]

34. It is not a 10% country

For example, in 2018 Trump's approval rating was lower than now and the Democratic House margin was +8.4, despite 40 races unopposed by Republicans compared to only 3 races not contested by Democrats. That aspect alone really inflated the national gap.

I would accept victory by any margin

[redstateblues]

5. Don't see it

[SheltieLover]

6. Precisely why I'm voting in person

[Stuart G]

7. So am I..

[SheltieLover]

8. Excellent!

Our country is worth my time & effort!

[Thekaspervote]

11. Same here

[SheltieLover]

20. Yaaaay!

I think a lot of people will.

Our country is worth our efforts!

No excuses for chumputin!!!

[Laelth]

17. Me too. Early, but in person. n/t

-Laelth

[SheltieLover]

22. Excellejt!!!

[Lisa0825]

18. I am voting in person on day 1 of early voting at 7am!!!

[SheltieLover]

23. Go Lisa!!!!

Yaaaaay!

[MuseRider]

9. All I know is that this is becoming

more than I can take. I am the strongest person I know. When everyone else quits I am still going. I will pull people along, hold them up and still come back for more but this is almost the end of me. I do not know if it is because I am older but I do believe I will need sedation or a heavy intake of alcohol that night, enough to put me to sleep before a lot of results are in. I just cannot believe what I see every day and to see him in a landslide and have to listen to that offal until the other votes come in knowing full well he will not accept it, I just do not think I can do it this time.

[SheltieLover]

15. Yes, you can, Muse!

Time for me to drag you along.

Go read about Joe calling chumputin too weak, today in speech, to condemn Portland murderer.

Also, Yale is offering very popular course free: "Ecience of Well Being." People love yltuis course!

https://www.coursera.org/learn/the-science-of-well-being

[Stuart G]

27. Trump will accept it because it will be totally clear he lost. Why? It won't be close. Why?

He is a buffoon, a fool, a loud mouth, a liar, and most important......

Trump has had 3 1/2 years to prove the above to almost everyone..
..Trump lies about everything. Who really wants a liar on everything?.

Quote Donald Trump(not exact, but almost).."It will soon be over, a few deaths, and then it will be gone."

[Stuart G]

32. Trump will accept the outcome. It will be clear and obvious to all. Most of the U.S.A.

will simply say, "Let's give someone else a chance, enough of Donald Trump"..........

Yes, it is that simple and pretty obvious.

[c-rational]

36. Do not let them get you down. You can do it. We are almost there. Believe!

[mitch96]

13. What worries me is if he "wins" on election nite, he will void any other votes as corrupt.

They will do anything to steal the election... He prolly has Putin's cheat sheet on hand on how to do it..
m

[SheltieLover]

16. This is why I'm voting in person.

Our country is worth my time & effort.

[Thekaspervote]

28. He has no legal recourse to stop the counting of ballots...period!!

[mitch96]

33. I feel he will do anything.. up to and including using Blackwater to get rid of the ballots..nt

[WhiteTara]

19. We may need to double mask and

vote in person on election day.

[SheltieLover]

25. Yup!

I am.

Our country is worth it!

[WhiteTara]

31. I requested a mail in

but I think that I will take it in and vote in person so that my vote will count that day. I'll most likely early vote because we can here.

[gristy]

21. There will be a ton of absentee and mail-in ballots received and counted by election day

The smart people with access to the tabulation of both those votes and election-day votes can then project the winner on election night or at least within a couples days.

[DenverJared]

24. Let's all vote in person wherever it is allowed.

Wear a face shield and mask and line up at 4 AM if there is no early voting.

[SheltieLover]

26. Absolutely!

I will vote in person as our country is worth the effort!

[dustyscamp]

29. Yeah, I'll be voting in person too

If I catch Covid and die so be it. My Friends, family and all the good people trying to get by deserve a better future

[BlueIdaho]

35. Many states are allowing mail-in and absentee ballots to be counted

As they come in. They will be reported at the close of polls. That could knock this theory into a cocked hat.

[LisaL]

37. Exactly.

Most states would start counting absentee first, not last.

[RhodeIslandOne]

38. Bullshit

I do not believe in person voting will be that much of an edge for Trump.