General Discussion

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts) Wed Sep 2, 2020, 10:34 AM Sep 2020

Strong polling day so far for Biden. We will get a few more by day's end...

Including a new Monmouth Pennsylvania poll.

But Biden's polling day so far:

+8 in the latest LV Selzer poll
+5 in the USA Today/Suffolk poll (+7 when third parties are not thrown in)
+15 in a new Opinium poll from the Guardian
+7 in Reuters/Ipsos

7 replies

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Strong polling day so far for Biden. We will get a few more by day's end... (Original Post) Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 OP

Don't like seeing a few under 50%, but it does seem to be moving back in the right direction nt sweetloukillbot Sep 2020 #1

Didn't need to move back Johnny2X2X Sep 2020 #3

The aggregate was over 52 and dropped to barely 50. sweetloukillbot Sep 2020 #4

Aggregate has never been over 51.4 Johnny2X2X Sep 2020 #5

I wish the Epic Asswhoopin trump is about to receive were the headline in the MSM NightWatcher Sep 2020 #2

The monumental disaster is.... dubyadiprecession Sep 2020 #6

So what is up with 538? It's gaining in the last couple days. I notice they use different polls Maraya1969 Sep 2020 #7

sweetloukillbot

(10,960 posts)

1. Don't like seeing a few under 50%, but it does seem to be moving back in the right direction nt

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Sep 2, 2020, 10:42 AM

Sep 2020

Johnny2X2X

(18,967 posts)

3. Didn't need to move back

Reply to sweetloukillbot (Reply #1)

Wed Sep 2, 2020, 10:57 AM

Sep 2020

There's been almost no movement in the polls for months. Biden has been +7 to +9 consistently since May.

sweetloukillbot

(10,960 posts)

4. The aggregate was over 52 and dropped to barely 50.

Reply to Johnny2X2X (Reply #3)

Wed Sep 2, 2020, 11:01 AM

Sep 2020

It's been at the low-end of the +7 to +9 range for a few days. Trump moved a little up, and is now moving back down as well.

Johnny2X2X

(18,967 posts)

5. Aggregate has never been over 51.4

Reply to sweetloukillbot (Reply #4)

Wed Sep 2, 2020, 11:04 AM

Sep 2020

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/

Basically there has been noise, that's it, period. And the noise is clearly from a couple questionable polls being included and a poll that is using new BS methods not being re-rated by Nate Silver.

NightWatcher

(39,343 posts)

2. I wish the Epic Asswhoopin trump is about to receive were the headline in the MSM

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Sep 2, 2020, 10:46 AM

Sep 2020

I think it would generate way more interest than trying to pitch a horse race during this dystopian that is all of trump's creating.

We're going to have a shit ton more in person early voters, mail in, and day of voters. He will not be able to claim victory and when exit polls start to show a 10-15 point lead for Biden that matches early returns, it's going to be all over but the screaming on his part.

We really want him gone and all he has is a dwindling bunch of dead enders.

dubyadiprecession

(5,674 posts)

6. The monumental disaster is....

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Sep 2, 2020, 11:21 AM

Sep 2020

Trump has never got, anywhere near, in any poll to breaking 50%!
As the kids used to say, “He’s Fucked!”.

Maraya1969

(22,459 posts)

7. So what is up with 538? It's gaining in the last couple days. I notice they use different polls

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Sep 2, 2020, 11:24 AM

Sep 2020

than these. It's just Trump but he gained almost 3 points in his disapproval rating in the last few days. I check it everyday. He's 43.6% right now.

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