PA Democrats need to win nine seats to flip the State House and we have a 16-seat battlefield.

[RandySF]

1.Nancy Guenst - HD152: http://nancy4pahouse.com/

2. Anton Andrew - HD160: https://antonandrew.com

3. Deb Ciamacca - HD168: https://www.debciamacca.com/

4. Jonathon Kassa - HD151: https://kassaforstaterep.com

5. Gary Spillane - HD144: https://www.electgaryspillane.com

6. Ann Marie Mitchell - HD178: https://voteannmariemitchell.com/

7. Paul Friel - HD26: https://turnpablue.org/2020-candidates/paul-friel/

8. Kevin Branco - HD131: https://www.branco4staterep.com

9. Marlene Katz - HD29: https://www.marlenekatzforpa.com

10. Harold Hayes - HD18: https://hayesforpa.com

11. Brittney Rodas - HD105: https://rodasforpa.com

12. Michelle Knoll - HD44: https://knoll4pa44.com/

13. Emily Skopov - HD28: https://www.electemily4pa.com

14. Lissa Geiger - HD30: https://lissaforpa.com

15. Joanna Smith - HD120: https://www.paforjbs.com/

16. Jill Dennin - HD147: https://www.jillforpa.com/

[gab13by13]

1. Good luck with the way we are gerrymandered.

[Amishman]

5. PA's issue is part direct gerrymandering, and part huge geographic disadvantage

Outside of the city cores (which are pure blue), the state is purple to mostly red. The concentration of the majority of our base in a very small area would hurt us badly in PA even with a impartially drawn map.

[Freedomofspeech]

2. This state is a mess...

I hate to think of Governor Wolf leaving office. God forbid we get a rethuglican govenor.

[TEB]

3. I'm hearing toomey

Wants to run for governor oh what a spineless shitbag

[Freedomofspeech]

4. Oh...

He is garbage...you described him perfectly.

[PaDemocrat]

11. I have been very disappointed in Wolf..

Especially with the way the Turnpike situation was handled.

[Freedomofspeech]

12. I hate what they have done with the turnpike...

All those people laid off and sending out bills? How can that be cost effective and how many tolls will actually be paid?

[DeminPennswoods]

16. Once EZ Pass became available, it was inevitable the toll takers

jobs would be lost to automation. Once the state has your license plate number, they can track you down, but most Tpk travellers have EZ Pass transponders now. It's just easier, not to mention significantly cheaper.

[Cosmocat]

13. Next up Big John Fetterman

You never know, but he is a primed to hold the office.

[DeminPennswoods]

15. He's already said he plans to run for Senate

against Toomey.

I expect Josh Shapiro to run for gov in 2022.

[Cosmocat]

17. ah ...

That explains why I have been seeing my Local Rs taking shots at Shapiro

[RandySF]

6. Kicked for visibility

[DeminPennswoods]

7. The state house districts are pretty gerry-mandered,

but Dems did net 11 seats in 2018. I think it will be tough to get those 9 seats.

As for Toomey, yeah, he's said he might run for governor. That's likely because LtGov Fetterman has said he's interested in running for Senate when his term expires in 2022. He would beat Toomey. I expect Josh Shapiro will run for governor in 2022, though. If he does, Toomey has no chance.

[RandySF]

8. I do know that HD152 and HD160 are already predicted to flip in November.

[DeminPennswoods]

9. These are suburban Phila districts

They have a chance, but at the last re-districting, Rs maxed out their seats by drawing the most agressive district lines they could to include as many Rs as possible. The state supreme court threw out the Congressional districts, but they didn't rule on the state house or senate districts.

You can see here just how gerrymandered they are: https://data.pa.gov/Geospatial-Data/Pennsylvania-House-Districts-Boundaries/in5u-czi3

[RandySF]

10. And that may have left them vulnerable to population shifts.

[DeminPennswoods]

14. That's true

We'll see if the suburban swing toward Biden/Dems translates to down ballot races. These suburban Rs are usually more liberal than what we see at the national level. They don't buy into the "crazy" R agenda for the most part.

I have my doubts Dems can retake the state house, though.

[Amishman]

18. I am also skeptical, we had a huge energy disparity in 2018 in our favor

I'm expecting this year to be somewhere between 2016 and 2018 in relative turnouts. it is hard for me to envision topping 2018's edge over the Trumpers. 2018 was so great around here, and the Trumpers seemed disorganized and unfocused. I expect our energy to be just as high, but the rightwingers to up their game - making it hard to raise the bar nine seats higher.