Democrat's running for the Senate, I like our chances.

[yortsed snacilbuper]

[mwooldri]

1. My take...

Mark Kelly, John Hickenlooper and Sara Gideon will likely win their races. I'd love to see Jamie Harrison and Amy McGrath win but my gut says Leningrad Lindsay and Moscow Mitch will eke out narrow wins (Jaundiced Jodi -add to the narrow win list). I think MJ Hegar in TX doesn't have much chance. So it's down to the two races in GA and the race in NC IMO.

Also Doug Jones - I think we're looking at Senator Tuberville for Alabama. So that means we have to gain another seat to

Nevertheless - with wins in CO, AZ, ME, NC and one win in GA that would give enough to build a Democratic Party coalition with the two independent senators. And keep Vice President Harris busy in DC breaking all kinds of ties.

However my wet dream would be to see Moscow and Leningrad off to the unemployment lines.

[Celerity]

4. you are forgetting some other races we have a far better shot at than SC and KY and TX

Jones will be beaten, probably badly, so we need 5 to take complete control, as even if it is tied and we win POTUS, a 50/50 Senate will require some power sharing




Locks


Arizona

Colorado




Likely Dem Win


Maine




Leaning Dem


North Carolina (tightening up a little and NC is SO corrupt)

Iowa

there is your 5 to take us to 51-49



now


Pure Toss-Ups

(We REALLY need Bloomberg to carpet bomb with adverts)


Alaska (Al Gross, and Indy, is the biggest surprise of all 13 seats listed)

Montana (Bullock is running a few points behind the Rethug Daines, he needs help, I so wish this was a leaning Dem)

Kansas (Bollier is running surprisingly well versus marshall, it is a shame Kobach did win the Rethug primary, as she would be up over him)

Georgia Regular Ossoff is hanging in there




The shoot ourselves in the foot seat


Georgia Special

Another Lieberman fucking us, as he should have dropped out and supported Warnock. There is no primary, and the top 2 finishers (provided no one gets to 50%, which is not happening) will be in a run-off. Collins is shockingly trailing the criminal scum Loeffler in most polls. Warnock is at 17 to 26%, but Lieberman is now at his highest ever, 13-14%. If he had dropped out, it might have ended up Warnock versus the beatable Loeffler or the also beatable Collins (I rate Collins a wee bit stronger in a run-off v the Dem). Now, there is a danger that the two Rethugs will be in a run-off against each other.



Little Chance


Kentucky FUCK YOU MOSCOW!!



Almost No Chance


Texas




Zero Chance


Tennessee (2 words enrage me. Tim McGraw. He could have run and won for an open seat in 2018, and now as well. He said since 2000 or so he would run for US in TN when we was 50. He is now 53, and turned down not one, but TWO golden opportunities, and now we will be stuck with two extreme RWNJ's.

[DFW]

2. I wouldn't discount Greenfield in Iowa or Osoff in Georgia

They are running solid campaigns against weak incumbents.

[greyl]

3. K & R nt

[Funtatlaguy]

5. Montana and Alaska are more flippable than some of those.

[Wanderlust988]

6. McGrath has no shot against Mitch

I live in Kentucky and he's killing her on TV and she responds with the most tepid and weak ads I've ever seen from a politician. Hegar has a better shot in TX than McGrath does in Kentucky.

[pamdb]

7. Peters in Michigan

Could be real close. John James the republican running against him has lots of money, including the whole DeVos klan pouring money in his coffers. Plus the GOP. Gary is so low key, I hope he goes on the attack more but since James has never held office it’s kind of hard to hit him on anything. Luckily we got straight ballot voting back so just mark the D circle! There is a video of James talking about how terrible Obamacare is and how seniors and people with pre existing conditions should pay more,so the Peters campaign should dust it off and start running that again.