538 Election model rises to 72% chance of Biden win

[brooklynite]

Link to tweet

[Johnny2X2X]

1. Trump is running out of time

With the polling we have now, if the election were tomorrow Biden would be at 98%. The closer we get to November, the higher that will go.

[Buckeye_Democrat]

3. Yep! nt

[Buckeye_Democrat]

2. Even if the polling remains stable, the probability should...

... keep going up. They consider possible polling fluctuations in the future, with that possibility decreasing as we get closer to the election.

Happy to see it, regardless!

[lagomorph777]

7. Yes exactly. Every day it stays steady raises the odds of America's survival.

[Fiendish Thingy]

4. Once the post Losergate polls come in, I bet it goes up another 3-5%

Adding Another 2% per week from now until November would be nice

[denem]

5. The convention 'bump' is over.

2% donnie. up your ass.

[BGBD]

6. Harry Enten...

posted on Twitter yesterday that Biden had been running for President for the past 501 days.....and had a polling lead on trump during each of those 501 days. That's never happened before.

[denem]

8. People have made their mind up about trump

50% disapproval. Forever. The name of the game is getting them to vote.