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*Ohio Shock Poll* Biden 49% Trump 45% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2020 OP
Wow! nt LexVegas Sep 2020 #1
Wow! And this is an Assmuffin poll. Give Biden 5 more points in real life. lagomorph777 Sep 2020 #13
I hope that's accurate! Buckeye_Democrat Sep 2020 #2
Ohio counts its absentee ballot essentially as they come in, they don't wait for eleciton day Tom Rinaldo Sep 2020 #3
In Ohio, if it's a Democratic vote, they count every 5th one to place it in the shredder. TheBlackAdder Sep 2020 #32
Straight up fact. ancianita Sep 2020 #35
Made my day!! samplegirl Sep 2020 #4
The Goodyear effect? Norbert Sep 2020 #5
Trump's gonna have tire tracks all up and down his back. lagomorph777 Sep 2020 #14
What is The Goodyear effect? PoindexterOglethorpe Sep 2020 #15
I went through the same search. Towlie Sep 2020 #19
Here. Ellipsis Sep 2020 #21
I believe they are referring to Trump's proposed boycott of Goodyear Tires. Chellee Sep 2020 #20
Exactly Norbert Sep 2020 #24
Has Rasmussen changed their sampling from all republican, to an actual distribution still_one Sep 2020 #6
Why is that a "shock poll"? FBaggins Sep 2020 #7
A telephone and online survey. Sorry, I don't hold any credence in online still_one Sep 2020 #8
yea Online basically trash fescuerescue Sep 2020 #23
It's a Rasmussen poll. Always best to ignore them, be they good or bad. LonePirate Sep 2020 #9
Rasmussen is a crappy, lean-Republican poll, so Joe must be ahead in Ohio. farmbo Sep 2020 #10
This poll also has.. PaDemocrat Sep 2020 #11
Joe must be up by 8 then RhodeIslandOne Sep 2020 #12
Brown siphons off a chunk of the white working class vote RGTIndy Sep 2020 #30
the wheels are coming off Amishman Sep 2020 #16
If we don't get Ohio this year, its gone for good. Same for Iowa idziak4ever1234 Sep 2020 #17
Yes, it's hopeless if most of Ohio votes for the idiot again. Buckeye_Democrat Sep 2020 #18
Not true...they voted for Dubya twice and Obama twice...Ohio is still a swing state. I think we Demsrule86 Sep 2020 #27
Oh, I definitely think Biden can win here. Buckeye_Democrat Sep 2020 #31
I think Ohio will continue to be a swing state. However, I don't know about where you are but Demsrule86 Sep 2020 #41
Rasmussen? mcar Sep 2020 #22
Likely Voters uponit7771 Sep 2020 #25
I knew it! I live in Ohio and I see indications that Ohio is in play. Biden is running non-stop TV Demsrule86 Sep 2020 #26
I'm NOT seeing as many Trump signs in my area. Buckeye_Democrat Sep 2020 #29
Trump supporters are nuts...I have dogs so I don't put a sign out...lots of people think this way. Demsrule86 Sep 2020 #42
Hell, Rasmussen mostly polls Trump's family and close friends. RGTIndy Sep 2020 #28
Still shocking Trump gets 45%. Pepsidog Sep 2020 #33
Don't believe any polls this might be one to lull us into a comfort zone and make voters think they kimbutgar Sep 2020 #34
+ 1,000,000. Polls are fun to talk about but they aren't votes. Auggie Sep 2020 #38
Good news, but still...Ohio Dopers_Greed Sep 2020 #36
Ohio went for Obama twice. And Biden is well liked in this state. Do you live in Ohio? I do. Demsrule86 Sep 2020 #43
Whoa Nellie!! That picture is perfect..total shock especially coming from RW leaner Rasmussen Thekaspervote Sep 2020 #37
I don't believe it philf99 Sep 2020 #39
Makes very little sense Awsi Dooger Sep 2020 #40
I hope so but Id like to see a few more polls Tribetime Sep 2020 #44

Tom Rinaldo

(22,912 posts)
3. Ohio counts its absentee ballot essentially as they come in, they don't wait for eleciton day
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 10:46 AM
Sep 2020

Same is true for North Carolina by the way. So election night returns for both of those states will include the vast majority of mailed in ballots. Either a Biden victory or a very close contest in both of those states that Trump won in 2016 would go a long way toward debunking any claims Trump might try making about an election night victory based on election night returns in other states that will not have the bulk of their mail in ballots processed on election night.

PoindexterOglethorpe

(25,839 posts)
15. What is The Goodyear effect?
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 11:21 AM
Sep 2020

I haven't heard of it and can't seem to find anything with the Google.

Thanks.

Towlie

(5,324 posts)
19. I went through the same search.
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 11:33 AM
Sep 2020
As far as I can make out, the Goodyear effect is the practice of continued suppression of wages based solely upon past suppression. In other words, asking a prospective employee how much that employee was paid in the past and using that as the basis of his/her current salary.

However, I have no idea what that has to do with the subject under discussion here.

still_one

(92,116 posts)
6. Has Rasmussen changed their sampling from all republican, to an actual distribution
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 10:51 AM
Sep 2020

I wouldn't trust Rasmussen

It is both a call and online poll


FBaggins

(26,727 posts)
7. Why is that a "shock poll"?
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 10:52 AM
Sep 2020

It's virtually identical to their results (50/46) two months ago... and roughly in line with most of the OH polling this year.

farmbo

(3,121 posts)
10. Rasmussen is a crappy, lean-Republican poll, so Joe must be ahead in Ohio.
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 11:13 AM
Sep 2020

Just the kind of news that will make my day.

 

RhodeIslandOne

(5,042 posts)
12. Joe must be up by 8 then
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 11:15 AM
Sep 2020

As bad as Ohio has become politically, I don't see how Sherrod Brown can easily win there and Joe wouldn't have a shot, especially after Obama won there twice.

 

RGTIndy

(203 posts)
30. Brown siphons off a chunk of the white working class vote
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 12:51 PM
Sep 2020

The same block that Biden has a real shot at picking up. Ohio is definitely in play.

Demsrule86

(68,539 posts)
27. Not true...they voted for Dubya twice and Obama twice...Ohio is still a swing state. I think we
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 12:45 PM
Sep 2020

could win here... I live in Ohio.

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,853 posts)
31. Oh, I definitely think Biden can win here.
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 12:51 PM
Sep 2020

I was suggesting Ohio might be hopeless for Democrats in the future if Trump wins here again. He's even worse than Dumbya imo.

Demsrule86

(68,539 posts)
41. I think Ohio will continue to be a swing state. However, I don't know about where you are but
Wed Sep 9, 2020, 08:25 AM
Sep 2020

Cleveland is hit very hard economically. I think the state is close...but Ohio has always been this way. I am seeing tons of Biden ads and no Trump ads.

Demsrule86

(68,539 posts)
26. I knew it! I live in Ohio and I see indications that Ohio is in play. Biden is running non-stop TV
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 12:44 PM
Sep 2020

commercials here too.

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,853 posts)
29. I'm NOT seeing as many Trump signs in my area.
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 12:48 PM
Sep 2020

I live in a very purple part of the state too. A bunch of Trump signs in more rural areas wouldn't surprise me since they're mostly a lost-cause anyway.

Demsrule86

(68,539 posts)
42. Trump supporters are nuts...I have dogs so I don't put a sign out...lots of people think this way.
Wed Sep 9, 2020, 08:29 AM
Sep 2020

We had dogs poisoned in the Warren area in 16 ( I lived in Cortland then). My daughter's friend's Dad...rightie loser actually burned his neighbors Clinton sign last time.

kimbutgar

(21,111 posts)
34. Don't believe any polls this might be one to lull us into a comfort zone and make voters think they
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 01:02 PM
Sep 2020

Don’t have to vote because Biden has it in the bag! Vote like MF45 is ahead by 5 points.

Rasmussen wants to stay on MF45’s good side. I just don’t trust them.

Dopers_Greed

(2,640 posts)
36. Good news, but still...Ohio
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 01:08 PM
Sep 2020

Ohio is a de facto red state.

I think we have a better chance of winning Texas tbh.

But maybe the Troop-hater-in-Chief's comments have hurt him there?

Either way, GOTV!

Demsrule86

(68,539 posts)
43. Ohio went for Obama twice. And Biden is well liked in this state. Do you live in Ohio? I do.
Wed Sep 9, 2020, 08:31 AM
Sep 2020

Ohio went for Bush twice also...it is a swing state and is in play.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
40. Makes very little sense
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 02:38 PM
Sep 2020

Clinton '96 and Obama '08 won Ohio by slightly more than 4 points apiece. Those were big Democratic years with national margins similar to Biden's current number, but no question Ohio has shifted to the right since '96 and '08.

I give a 4 point margin virtually no chance of being accurate.

But this is why national polls hold such greater value than state polls. The state polls are going to be all over the map because they are lower funded, less sophisticated, devote less time to the polling, and are using vastly different models from each other.

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