Trump cancels ad buys in AZ, IA, NV, NH, OH and PA markets

[Nevilledog]

Link to tweet

[Bayard]

1. Well, well

Is this because he thinks he already has those states in the bag, or because he knows he's already lost them?

[The Velveteen Ocelot]

6. He's out of money.

[underpants]

13. He's low. They could be just waiting for a big buy

like when the NFL starts.

He could be relying on the free advertising that he gets from the media. Remember he said that he was in 2016 when he ran low before their convention.

[dixiegrrrrl]

57. NRA isn't coming to rescue him, either. It has enough problems now.

Mabe Parscale can sell one of his yachts, or a plane, to help out, but I imagine trump's shitcanning of him
might make him a bit reluctant.

[C_U_L8R]

2. Bankrupt. Again.

All those Republican suckers left wondering where their money went. Do you think they'll ever figure out the obvious?

[Claustrum]

7. Of course not. It means they have to send another round of donation to Trump

I don't know if I believe they are broke. I think Trump just wants another wave of donation to further funnel the money to himself.

[Brother Buzz]

19. It's gonna piss those Republican suckers off bigly when they learn....

their donations were siphoned off to pay the orange anus' legal expenses.

[renate]

50. I thought we the taxpayers were paying the DOJ to handle his legal expenses?

The donations are probably just being laundered into Trump's pocket.

[Squinch]

3. The fix is in?

[spanone]

37. my first thought

[smirkymonkey]

55. That's exactly what I am thinking.

I am wondering if this whole bit about the campaign being broke is just another one of their dirty tricks to lure us into complacency.

[Claustrum]

4. Um... that's surprising. I guess they have to fine tune their ads again n/t

[drray23]

5. running out of money and giving up in states where Joe Biden is likely to win.

They are at the point where they have to try to defend states like NC/GA/FL . If this continue, this bodes well for us.

[Wounded Bear]

15. Biden can win without Florida. I don't think Trump can...

[Wounded Bear]

8. They will still be seen on-line in those states...

Trump has invested heavily in Youtube and Facebook, which aren't so geographically aligned and are cheaper.

[bedazzled]

27. Getting stupid cards in the mail in fl

Not as many as usual. MASSIVE amounts of phone calls tho. Registered as a republican. Long story ... moved to fl when bush was president and wanted to be sure to be able to vote. Isn't that sad? Should have changed it i guess.

[awesomerwb1]

9. For this week correct

Doesn't mean they won't schedule ads or next week is that correct?

[Nevilledog]

11. This is a weekly report

[awesomerwb1]

28. You should reflect that in your thread title

Some people in this thread are already assuming trump has either given up on those states or that the fix is in in those states.

[Nevilledog]

30. The tweet clearly reflects the time period.

[awesomerwb1]

32. It does

Apparently a lot of people are missing that. Adding the word WEEKLY to the title shouldn't be too hard. Much less time than replying to posts like mine.

[Nevilledog]

33. I'm good.

[awesomerwb1]

36. Don't doubt you are.

The title of your thread could use some work though.

[Frustratedlady]

10. Good! I won't be exposed to his ads/his face/his voice!

There aren't a whole bunch of fantastic happenings at this time, but this one is super fantastic, as Trump would say.

I get my kicks in small doses.

[awesomerwb1]

12. Believe they're broke at your own peril

I doubt they're out of money. Nonsense in my opinion.

[Wounded Bear]

16. They always seem to find the money they need...

[lagomorph777]

29. A few Roubles will appear, as if by magic.

[qwlauren35]

14. Are those the states

where the mail sorting machines were crushed????

If so, it's fixed, and he doesn't have to worry about it.

[Renew Deal]

17. Winning FL, GA, MI, MN, NC, and WI would get them to 285 with 1 EV from Maine

Assuming they take OH and IA as well.

I think at least one of MN, WI, and MI are out of reach for them.

This election is all about NC. Whoever wins NC likely wins the entire thing.

[Claustrum]

31. Really? I don't think Biden needs NC to win

If Biden gets PA, WI and he has a choice between MI, or AZ + NE2 or Maine2. None of those paths require NC.

[Renew Deal]

34. Agree and maybe I should have put it another way.

It's almost impossible for Biden to lose if he wins NC.

[Tribetime]

38. Or Florida or Ohio

[Renew Deal]

40. Agree

Florida is equal to two states

[Cosmocat]

41. If he wins Ohio he will get 400 EVs

Florida or NC are more doable, and yeah would be a huge kick in the nuts to 45.

[obamanut2012]

49. No it isn't

wtf

[Renew Deal]

59. It isn't?

If Biden wins NC, Trump has to win All of FL, GA, MI, OH, and one of WI, MN, and AZ.

Realistically, MI looks really bad for Trump right now and MN and AZ aren't much better. If Biden gets NC, he only needs MI or 2 out of 3 of WI, MN, and AZ.

And if Biden wins FL, it is game over.

[GusBob]

18. so many questions

are they far ahead in those states and dont need ads?
are they far behind and have mailed it in?
are they low on funds?
is the fix in for voting there?

Someone ask Putin

[fescuerescue]

20. Wow so they are giving up those states already

Heck this is in the bag then.

[sweetloukillbot]

24. They could figure IA and OH are in the bag

Those two haven't quite made toss-up yet, I don't think, they still lean R. But if he's still running ads in MN and WI, that says something. Surprised to see MI back in the ad column, I thought he pulled advertising there months ago.

[beachbumbob]

42. nothing indicates anywhere that Iowa and Ohio are in the trump bag, far from it

[sweetloukillbot]

51. They're not in Biden's

And you don’t have access to The Trump campaign internals...

[beachbumbob]

52. I got historical data and when you are incumbent and under 50% as trump is under 50 in both

states, thats is ALWAYS a sign of trouble from a historical data view

[awesomerwb1]

26. It's a weekly report

They could start again next week.

[MissB]

21. Trying to lose but not by much

Or he’s trying to rake in more money for himself by acting broke, while still knowing he’s gonna lose.

[Aristus]

22. Trump might be broke, but Putin isn't.

Keep your heads in the game, people...

[beachbumbob]

43. putin doesn't have the NRA to launder money to trump's campaign

[davsand]

23. Spending money in Georgia and North Carolina? That's telling!

There's a reported cash shortage, and they decide to up spending in two usually solid GOP states? They must feel like they are in some deep shit right now! Makes me feel giddy to think about it!

[Roland99]

25. Giving up on OH and PA and AZ? Wow. And fighting for GA and NC??

#Blunami

[democrattotheend]

35. I'm guessing he cancelled IA and OH because he feels he doesn't need to advertise there as much

Those states are looking a little more solid for him than they did a few weeks ago.

Pulling out of NV and NH makes sense also, because as we learned the hard way in 2016, it's usually a bad idea to try to expand a map without protecting the states your party previously won.

Pulling out of AZ and PA are curious moves. Arizona could mean he's giving up on it, like Obama did with a couple of the states he won in 2008 but didn't need for reelection in 2012. But Obama's 2008 electoral college margin was MUCH bigger than Trump's 2016 margin, so this seems risky.

I am really surprised about PA. That state looks closer than ever and sadly, after spending the weekend driving through the state to Western PA, I think Trump is definitely still competitive there. The areas we visited were pretty Republican, but given how unpopular he is in general I was surprised to see as many Trump signs as I did. The ratio of Trump:Biden signs I saw was at least 10:1, maybe even 15:1.

[Tribetime]

39. If he thinks a 2 or 3% lead is solid he's in trouble

[beachbumbob]

44. yep, and he is far from solid in either state

[Cosmocat]

45. Yeah

Going after McCain so much is to Arizona what doing after Dingle in Michigan, big self inflicted wounds.

But, PA is big, and living here agree he has a shot and should go full on.

[Greybnk48]

46. His ads in Wisco are often and really nasty.

I can't wait until he gives up here. His numbers have been static for weeks.

[LisaL]

47. What exactly happened to the money?

NT

[Goodheart]

48. I don't understand

Why wouldn't trump pull a trump by buying the ads on credit and then later stiffing them?

[PCIntern]

53. Can't.

Cash on the barrel head

[leftyladyfrommo]

54. That's what happens when you steal all the money.

i would really like to see a breakdown of who got what.

[Dukkha]

56. can't squeeze blood out of a turnip

Obviously you can't buy air time from a war chest that's being siphoned an an industrial rate by a family of crooks.

[greenjar_01]

58. Cancelling IA and OH because they think they're in the bag, NV and NH are lost to them

Hard to tell what to make of AZ and PA.