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(94,493 posts)still_one
(92,122 posts)lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)because they can't see a great reason to vote for the Turd anymore. ANd perhaps a few on our side who will make the extra effort to vote.
Thekaspervote
(32,754 posts)qazplm135
(7,447 posts)at this point in 2016, over 90 percent of voters said their minds were made up and Clinton's polling lead wasn't too far off Biden's (albeit at the height of her post-convention bump and pre Comey).
Obviously that wasn't true as enough changed their minds to allow Trump to squeak out a fluke win.
I think this is basically the Comey letter but for Trump.
It reinforces Trump's biggest weakness relatively close to the election. A weakness that was at least a little bit being overcome by "RIOTS!!"
I bet we don't hear squat about riots the rest of the week. It's going to be all this and all coronavirus for the next week at least.
Which basically means this is the top thing on voters minds going into the first debate...which is right in Biden's best interest.
So yeah, I think this is the kind of thing that takes enough people from a close, maybe Trump could eke out a surprise win in this state or that state to, nope, solid 3 or more percent win for Biden. And just a couple of those is the endgame.
Tribetime
(4,684 posts)Put the crack pipe down.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)The effects will be cumulative, with the avalanche of other negative stories pouring in.
still_one
(92,122 posts)BannonsLiver
(16,366 posts)What it does do is bleed another 5-6 precious days off the clock that Trump needs to turn it around. And that alone is significant. With Woodward set to give a 60Minutes Interview flogged all day by CBS during NFL games and with the books release on Tuesday its likely this will still be in the news well into next week. At the very least.
still_one
(92,122 posts)our national security
BannonsLiver
(16,366 posts)As cousin Eddie said about Clarks Jelly of the Month Club membership in Christmas Vacation, its the gift that keeps on giving.
qazplm135
(7,447 posts)there's probably one or two other major things that will help take this all the way to the first debate.
The problem Trump has is in 2016 he was playing on offense much of the time, and even when he was on defense, the media kept equating emailgate and Benghazi with the 20 plus Trump scandals.
But so far, knock on wood, the media seems uninterested in anything about Biden or Biden "scandals."
They didn't fall for "Ukraine-gate," and the Dems are much better responding to the BS than in 2016, and, let's face it, sexism means Biden is more likeable and less susceptible to ginned up hatred.
Trump's on defense all of the time. You can't win that way. You don't gain new followers, and even if each scandal only shaves off half a percent, sooner or later, that adds up.
Thekaspervote
(32,754 posts)qazplm135
(7,447 posts)but it would be substantive.
If Biden rolls into the first debate up 10 points, has a decent showing, and Trump is worse, then he comes out of that debate maybe at 12 or 13. Followed by a VP debate where Harris will clean Pence's clock.
It's REALLY REALLY hard to knock off the ten or so points Trump would need to knock off in literally the last month to win.
Like live boy/dead girl hard.
Zing Zing Zingbah
(6,496 posts)Not seeing anything in the body of your message.
redstatebluegirl
(12,265 posts)His people are firmly behind this toad. He really could shoot someone on fifth Avenue and 40 percent would vote for him. Their plans are to suppress the vote. Have armed poll watchers from his crazy ass base to keep people away. The post office to keep ballots from arriving on time. Purging rolls. We have to work and vote like our lives depend on it because it does.
Fake news
Yup
still_one
(92,122 posts)jpak
(41,757 posts)n/t
still_one
(92,122 posts)jpak
(41,757 posts)Unfortunately
BannonsLiver
(16,366 posts)Trumpers arent the only people voting in this election.
I think it will, but only marginally.
grobertj
(187 posts)Of course it will affect the polls. Probably, starting tomorrow. But we probably won't see the impact until the first of the next week. Polls average over several days.