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DeminPennswoods

(15,286 posts)
1. John Delano, KDKA-TV's political reporter
Thu Sep 10, 2020, 07:26 PM
Sep 2020

was on tonight's evening local news downplaying the polls. Then again, he's been a dope for a long time.

BumRushDaShow

(128,905 posts)
7. PA has voted for a (D) every Presidential election since 1988, with 2016 as a fluke.
Thu Sep 10, 2020, 07:45 PM
Sep 2020

(with only a 44K difference in votes)

Amishman

(5,557 posts)
12. Yup, my guess is 3-5%
Thu Sep 10, 2020, 09:52 PM
Sep 2020

But anyone but Biden would have it as a tossup.

The interior of the state has gotten even redder the past 5-10 years.

Laelth

(32,017 posts)
15. Biden +3-5 seems reasonable to me.
Fri Sep 11, 2020, 05:11 AM
Sep 2020

PA means a lot in this race. I hope that the party doesn’t take PA for granted.

-Laelth

Yavin4

(35,438 posts)
8. These Likely Voter models are skewed to help Trump as much as possible.
Thu Sep 10, 2020, 07:49 PM
Sep 2020

If Connor Lamb can win his district there, then Biden should blow Trump away in PA.

Laelth

(32,017 posts)
9. 2016 was such a disaster for pollsters that they're skewing models ...
Thu Sep 10, 2020, 08:53 PM
Sep 2020

... in Trump’s direction this year. I can’t exactly blame them.

This poll, however, seems tilted toward Biden a bit.

-Laelth

Yavin4

(35,438 posts)
10. Like meteorologists calling for a 50% chance of rain.
Thu Sep 10, 2020, 08:56 PM
Sep 2020

You can never be wrong but makes your prediction worthless.

Willto

(292 posts)
13. What's Encouraging to Me
Thu Sep 10, 2020, 10:11 PM
Sep 2020

Is seeing how many polls in which Biden is 50% or above. I never feel great about any poll no matter what the margin if he isn't hitting at least 50%.

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