Democrats build big edge in early voting

[yortsed snacilbuper]

Democrats are amassing an enormous lead in early voting, alarming Republicans who worry they’ll need to orchestrate a huge Election Day turnout during a deadly coronavirus outbreak to answer the surge.

The Democratic dominance spreads across an array of battleground states, according to absentee ballot request data compiled by state election authorities and analyzed by Democratic and Republican data experts.

In North Carolina and Pennsylvania, Democrats have a roughly three-to-one advantage over Republicans in absentee ballot requests. In Florida — a must-win for President Donald Trump — the Democratic lead stands at more than 700,000 ballot requests, while the party also leads in New Hampshire, Ohio and Iowa.

Even more concerning for Republicans, Democrats who didn't vote in 2016 are requesting 2020 ballots at higher rates than their GOP counterparts. The most striking example is Pennsylvania, where nearly 175,000 Democrats who sat out the last race have requested ballots, more than double the number of Republicans, according to an analysis of voter rolls by the Democratic firm TargetSmart.

vote

[Claustrum]

1. Not to be a downer

But I think more republicans will go in-person to the polls this year because their dear leader told them COVID isn't a thing. And they have to make a point that it's not a thing. Having the early voting edge is nice but people need to make sure their votes are counted correctly.

[Yavin4]

3. That's an incorrect read.

Democrats will show up in person as well. What you should take from the post is that Democrats are more motivated to vote in 2020 than they were in 2016. That alone spells doom for Trump who won largely because of depressed turnout.

[Claustrum]

4. I am not saying we are losing to Trump

But what I am saying is that all of us still have to GOTV and get our friends and neighbors to vote even though it looks like we have the lead now. And make sure we mail in our ballot early if we are voting early. Check your mail in ballot to make sure your ballot is received correctly, etc.

[Yavin4]

2. This is why I theorize that the polls are under-stating Biden's lead

Even more concerning for Republicans, Democrats who didn't vote in 2016 are requesting 2020 ballots at higher rates than their GOP counterparts. The most striking example is Pennsylvania, where nearly 175,000 Democrats who sat out the last race have requested ballots, more than double the number of Republicans, according to an analysis of voter rolls by the Democratic firm TargetSmart.

2020 is shaping up to be closer to 2018 than 2016.

[qazplm135]

8. Likely voter screens

aren't equipped to handle a wave, red or blue. So if there is one, it will be at least somewhat missed, although still show up as a solid lead.

[DeminPennswoods]

9. Agree

LV screens simply don't catch the "unlikely" voters who show up.

[Demovictory9]

5. Good

[notinkansas]

6. I'm early voting in person.

Post Office has been kneecapped. DeJoy is a scoundrel who likely has more dastardly deeds up his sleeve. Rejection rates for mail in ballots for the primary elections are alarming, which does not bode well for the general election.

I just feel like I will have to do this in person. I will vote as early as I can.

[comradebillyboy]

7. I applied for my NM mail in ballot today.

It should arrive the first week on October.

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

10. K&R