Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Demovictory9

(32,421 posts)
Fri Sep 11, 2020, 10:21 AM Sep 2020

Election Update: Democratic early vote outstrips GOP by 700,000

https://www.capitalandconflict.com/geopolitics/election-update-democratic-early-vote-outstrips-gop-by-700000/

Election Day will officially be held on Tuesday 3rd November in America.

But actually, every day is Election Day from now until then.

Early voting has already kicked off in several key “battleground” states – contests that will deal a knockout blow for one candidate in the Electoral College math.

It’s striking because the early votes coming in are the first concrete signs of what’s to come.

These actual results are real in a way polling simply isn’t – and they offer major clues on what’s to come.

Democrats dominating in the early vote so far

I was surprised when I saw a poll result from CNN News showing that 53% of Biden’s supporters rated themselves “very enthusiastic” about voting, compared to 46% of Trump’s backers.

After all, conventional wisdom holds that Biden’s backers are lining up behind the guy they see as “good enough” while Trump’s voters see him as an almost messianic figure.

But the result has held in other polls, too. I’ve seen the best theory for why coming from the vaunted statistician, Nate Silver.

“Many of Biden’s backers aren’t as enthusiastic about Biden as Trump voters are about Trump,” Silver wrote.

“But Biden’s voters are extremely enthusiastic about beating Donald Trump. And that could amount to the same thing.”

Now, over the last week of early voting in the key battleground state of North Carolina, we’ve seen a surge in Democratic early voting that seems to validate this idea.

In North Carolina, Democrats have a three-to-one advantage over Republicans in absentee ballot requests so far.

https://www.capitalandconflict.com/geopolitics/election-update-democratic-early-vote-outstrips-gop-by-700000/
4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Election Update: Democratic early vote outstrips GOP by 700,000 (Original Post) Demovictory9 Sep 2020 OP
Keep it up, folks! I'll be hand-returning my ballot the day I receive it! lagomorph777 Sep 2020 #1
Voting early, if safe, is the way to do it . . Iliyah Sep 2020 #2
I feel the same way Nate Silver describes sboatcar Sep 2020 #3
K&R for visibility. crickets Sep 2020 #4

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
2. Voting early, if safe, is the way to do it . .
Fri Sep 11, 2020, 10:30 AM
Sep 2020

Hearing that shithole's republicans nut cases will be bullying polls where Democrats vote is un-American.

Sending fake Christians to mess with Americans civil right to vote is evil.

Screwing with absentee ballots across the country while republicans rejoice will backfire on them.

republicans hate Democracy.

sboatcar

(415 posts)
3. I feel the same way Nate Silver describes
Fri Sep 11, 2020, 11:25 AM
Sep 2020

I'm not super enthusiastic about Biden, but I will proudly vote for him because this country seriously cannot weather another 4 years of Trump.
That being said, I don't think he'll be a bad president at all, but he's no Barack Obama. But to have someone who has actual compassion in the White House will be the end of a long national nightmare.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Election Update: Democrat...