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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhy Trump's approval numbers may be soft
The 2020 election presents a very different picture. Republicans from every state have openly abandoned Trump. Many others will follow suit, though they may not confess it to pollsters now.
In the privacy of the voting booth or at home when voting by mail-in ballot, no one will see or need to know how a Trump supporter votes. There, the COVID-19 catastrophe, Trumps habitual lying and his multiple failures and transgressions will likely outweigh the need to defend him. And just as Americans voted for Trump in 2016 after telling pollsters they wouldnt, voters may very well vote for Joe Biden in 2020 after telling pollsters theyd vote for Trump.
In the privacy of the voting booth or at home when voting by mail-in ballot, no one will see or need to know how a Trump supporter votes. There, the COVID-19 catastrophe, Trumps habitual lying and his multiple failures and transgressions will likely outweigh the need to defend him. And just as Americans voted for Trump in 2016 after telling pollsters they wouldnt, voters may very well vote for Joe Biden in 2020 after telling pollsters theyd vote for Trump.
https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/516140-why-trumps-approval-numbers-may-be-soft
Secret Biden voters
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)BlueWavePsych
(2,635 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)If he really is at 42% on 11/3 he's going to get shellacked.
Eyeball_Kid
(7,431 posts)A reputable poll stated that among GOP voters, 6% switched to Biden after The Atlantic reported that Trump made the suckers and losers remarks about the military. And THAT was before the Woodward revelations were made public. Six percent movement means landslide.
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)I've posted that many times. It is a realistic goal, although if forced I would bet the over
Anything in the 30s is not realistic. I have no idea why so many cling to it
JI7
(89,248 posts)because he is obviously a shitty person.
ProfessorGAC
(65,010 posts)Yesterday there was a thread here on suburban R women defecting.
Stories included a husband raving about PINO and his plans to vote for him while the wife pointed to herself and shook her head, no.
Another about a woman who said she was not voting for PINO, even to keep the peace.
That ties to this Hill piece.
How many pollsters get an answer from a husband that both he & his wife plan to vote red, but the wife has no intention of doing so?
Even if that scenario occurs in 1 in 100 calls, it widens the gap by 2%.
Karma13612
(4,552 posts)What is PINO??
Blecht
(3,803 posts)I'm also in the dark.
On edit: Probably resident in name only.
ProfessorGAC
(65,010 posts)He's a mobster wannabe, so I tagged him with a mob-like nickname.
And it fits.
He isn't a real POTUS.
It's a take off on the RINO & DINO we've been seeing for 20+ years.
Karma13612
(4,552 posts)Well, I learn something new every day around here!!
Thanks
writes3000
(4,734 posts)I think Hillarys fake scandals exhausted people so they voted for Trump. It may not have been fair but I think its human nature.
This year, theyll vote for Biden.
Yavin4
(35,438 posts)For a lot of voters, it was a 50/50 call, and given the Comey letter, that tilted them to Trump. With many voters thinking that Hillary would be under constant investigation during her presidency, and that Trump would grow into the job.
That voter in 2020 is voting for Biden.