Democrats need 9 seats to flip the Texas House. Here are 22 opportunities.

[RandySF]

Across the nation, all eyes are on Texas this year. With Joe Biden leading Trump in many polls, there’s one question on everyone’s mind: will this be the year Texas turns blue?

While delivering Texas for Biden is an exciting possibility, we have an even better chance at flipping Texas further down the ballot – in the Texas House of Representatives. The Texas House is only nine seats away from Democratic control, and flipping it blue will change the political landscape of Texas for years to come.

If the Texas House flips in November, the implications for the next decade of Texas politics are huge. The 2021 legislative session is more important than ever, because next year, representatives will decide how to redraw Texas legislative districts. If Republicans have control of the Texas House and the Texas Senate, they’ll be free to gerrymander Texas districts to make it harder to turn our state blue in the next few years. But if Democrats take the Texas House, we can ensure a fair and equitable redistricting process.

A Democratic-led Texas House can mean better legislation, better policies, and better plans to take us out of the COVID crisis next year. We’ll have a higher chance of addressing public school funding, expanding Medicaid for Texas families, holding police accountable, and using the Rainy Day fund for Texans, not corporations or wealthy donors.

This House election isn’t about who controls Texas for the next two years. It’s about who shapes the future of Texas. Let’s make sure we have a say.


Flippable House Districts
Ordered by Beto O'Rourke's margin of victory in 2018.

HD-134 - Won by Beto
Harris County
Democrat: Ann Johnson

HD-108 - Won by Beto
Dallas County
Democrat: Joanna Cattanach

HD-112 - Won by Beto
Dallas County
Democrat: Brandy Chambers

HD-138 - Won by Beto
Harris County
Democrat: Akilah Bacy
Retired Incumbent

HD-66 - Won by Beto
Collin County
Democrat: Sharon Hirsch

HD-67 - Won by Beto
Collin County
Democrat: Lorenzo Sanchez

HD-26 - Won by Beto
Fort Bend County
Democrat: Sarah DeMerchant
Retired Incumbent

HD-64 - Won by Beto
Denton County
Democrat: Angela Brewer

HD-121 - Won by Beto
Bexar County
Democrat: Celina Montoya

HD-96
Tarrant County
Democrat: Joe Drago
Retired Incumbent

HD-54
Bell County
Democrat: Keke Williams

HD-97
Tarrant County
Democrat: Elizabeth Beck

HD-14
Brazos County
Democrat: Janet Dudding

HD-92
Tarrant County
Democrat: Jeff Whitfield
Retired Incumbent

HD-93
Tarrant County
Democrat: Lydia Bean

HD-28
Fort Bend County
Democrat: Eliz Markowitz

HD-94
Tarrant County
Democrat: Alisa Simmons

HD-126
Harris County
Democrat: Natali Hurtado

HD-32
Nueces County
Democrat: Eric Holguin

HD-29
Brazoria County
Democrat: Travis Boldt

HD-129
Harris County
Democrat: Kayla Alix

HD-133
Harris County
Democrat: Sandra Moore





https://progresstexas.org/blog/democrats-need-9-seats-flip-texas-house-here-are-22-opportunities?fbclid=IwAR2BqeNfjYP8oEKhVHQbiOZkBq2nFTpyI7pvumsl8SOG2P9cOtxAlLKeP0o

[TexasTowelie]

1. I'm most familiar with the candidates for districts 14 and 32.

While I will vote for Janet Dudding in district 14, I would be completely surprised if she or Eric Holguin pulled off upsets since both of them are in districts that favor GOP candidates.

[RandySF]

2. I heard some scuttlebutt about 108 and 121

I was on a zoom fundraiser with Beto Cattanach (108) and Montoya (121). Cattanach said internals have her ahead of the incumbent and Biden up by 20% (this is the heart of Downtown Dallas). Montoya (San Antonio) said she has a small lead.

[TexasTowelie]

3. I think that we will close the gap and pick up five or six of those seats.

There has been enough exhaustion with the GOP, their lies, and their policies (which is to lie without impunity). It is going to take a rout by Biden with long coattails to get those additional seats.

If the Democrats get seven or eight seats there might be a Republican cross over if they a) see the process as too partisan or b) they can see knocking off a potential rival within their own party since a lot of them might want pursue a career as a state senator. The latter is more likely. There will also be a new Speaker of the House after the election since Dennis Bonnen screwed up and said naughty things about other Republicans on tape.