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Mon Sep 14, 2020, 04:00 PM

 

50 days out - what do you believe will be the popular vote win margin

For historical purposes, the winning difference is listed below:

2000 Gore 500k
2004 Bush 3 Million
2008 Obama 9.5 Million
2012 Obama 5 Million
2016 Clinton 3 Million





20 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Time expired
tRump wins popular vote
0 (0%)
Biden wins by less than 1 million
0 (0%)
Biden wins by 1 to 3 million
1 (5%)
Biden wins by 3 to 5 million
2 (10%)
Biden wins by 5 to 7.5 million
8 (40%)
Biden wins by 7.5 million to 10 million
4 (20%)
Biden wins by over 10 million
5 (25%)
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll

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Reply 50 days out - what do you believe will be the popular vote win margin (Original post)
rufus dog Sep 2020 OP
rufus dog Sep 2020 #1
Laelth Sep 2020 #2
rufus dog Sep 2020 #3
qazplm135 Sep 2020 #4
sarcasmo Sep 2020 #5
sarisataka Sep 2020 #6
roamer65 Sep 2020 #7
Tribetime Sep 2020 #8

Response to rufus dog (Original post)

Mon Sep 14, 2020, 04:03 PM

1. And I will make the first prediction

 

Biden will exceed Obama's 2008 vote total and tRump will lose about 1 million votes due to switches to Biden AND some republicans sitting this election out. This will end up with him winning the popular vote by over 10 million with huge numbers run up on the West Coast and NE States.

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Response to rufus dog (Original post)

Mon Sep 14, 2020, 04:20 PM

2. Just a guess.

Trump got 62 million votes last time. I think he drops to 58 million. Hillary got nearly 65 million in 2016. I think Biden gets 68 million and wins.

-Laelth

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Response to Laelth (Reply #2)

Mon Sep 14, 2020, 04:29 PM

3. We are all guessing!!!!

 

I hope you are right on The Shitstain dropping that many voters, (basically losing 6% of his vote) but I like the way you think.

My guess is 1 million drop with Biden/Harris adding a million to Obama/Biden 2008 record vote total.

I suppose the Suburban voter flip to Biden counts as a double gain.

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Response to rufus dog (Original post)

Mon Sep 14, 2020, 04:47 PM

4. I'd say more than Clinton, less than Obama 08

Somewhere in that range would be my guess.

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Response to rufus dog (Original post)

Mon Sep 14, 2020, 04:48 PM

5. 7 million.

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Response to rufus dog (Original post)

Mon Sep 14, 2020, 04:56 PM

6. Much like 2016 I have no doubt of a popular victory

likewise I am not as confident of an Electoral win.

I expect it will be closer than 2016 but may fall short of 270. Everyone needs to vote so no state slips away

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Response to rufus dog (Original post)

Mon Sep 14, 2020, 04:57 PM

7. 55-45 I think.

On the popular vote.

The EC? Who the fuck knows...

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Response to rufus dog (Original post)

Mon Sep 14, 2020, 06:23 PM

8. Biden 72 million drumph 61

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