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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums*Brand New Morning Consult Likely Voter National Poll Biden* 51% - Klansman 43%
https://morningconsult.com/2020-presidential-election-tracker/
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*Brand New Morning Consult Likely Voter National Poll Biden* 51% - Klansman 43% (Original Post)
DemocratSinceBirth
Sep 2020
OP
Demsrule86
(68,469 posts)1. Thanks DSB. I appreciate you posting these polls K&R
honest.abe
(8,614 posts)2. Amazing consistency in these national polls.
Also an 8 point national lead should translate into an EC blowout... but we still have a few weeks to go and turnout is key.
Cautiously optimistic.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)3. I am increasingly optimistic for a 10+ rout
The state and national polls don't correlate.
We can't be ahead in heavily blue states like NY and CA tied in TX and Florida and over performing every where by a min of 5 points (15 points in AZ) and only hold an 8 % lead nationally.
I think what is happening is that they are using 2016 turnout models when they should be using 2016 for Republican turnout and 2018 for Dems, but that is just a guess.
still_one
(92,061 posts)5. I think that is a reflection that most have made up their mind
uponit7771
(90,302 posts)6. +1, LV and low MOE ... premo data
Johnny2X2X
(18,973 posts)4. Joe will outperform the polls!
2018 is the most recent lesson and Dems our performed the polls across the country. Joes going to win by 2-4 points more than the polls say he will.
uponit7771
(90,302 posts)7. "...margin of error of +/- 1% ..." !!!!!!! 😁😁😁
colsohlibgal
(5,275 posts)8. Yin Yang
The Good News....Biden Up 8. The Bad News.....43% have lost their minds and foregone critical thinking.
Thekaspervote
(32,708 posts)9. Really great news
The national polls actually do become relevant by this time in the race. And, polling above 50%, very few undecideds. Think about it, dotard would have to see an 8 pt gain just to pass him by one point!