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Wed Sep 16, 2020, 02:30 PM

Biden leading ME-2 by 53-44 Biden +9 in new Quinnipiac University poll

Isn't this one of the district that Clinton lost that could put Biden at 270 if Biden wins AZ but loses PA?

Other polling result:

SC: Trump 52 to Biden 45 Trump +6
ME-1: Biden 64 to Trump 32 Biden +32
ME-2: Biden 53 to Trump 44 Biden +9
Maine: Biden 59 to Trump 38 Biden +21
KY: Trump 58 to Biden 38 Trump +20

https://poll.qu.edu/kentucky/release-detail?ReleaseID=3673

17 replies, 674 views

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Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 02:31 PM

1. I think the ranked choice voting will also substantially help there.

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Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 02:33 PM

2. It is. Good to see.

Clinton-2016 states (232) + MI (16) + WI (10) + AZ (11) + ME-2 (1) gives Biden exactly 270 EV. I don't think it will come down to that but it is a nice backup plan.

It is also a nice backup-backup plan if Biden wins by more but Dump tries to contest one or more states. Dump can't use that to cheat a win if doing so would still leave Biden at 270. As an example if Biden got the above states but also barely won PA that would give him 290 EV. Dump contesting PA and trying to get some ballots thrown out wouldn't alter the election because he was successful Biden would still have 270 EV.

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Response to Statistical (Reply #2)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 02:36 PM

6. exactly

With that one vote he could win without Pennsylvania or Florida.

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Response to Statistical (Reply #2)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 02:37 PM

8. For me, I think winning ME-2 is more about avoiding a tie situation

because a tie is said to favor Trump.

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Response to Claustrum (Reply #8)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 02:40 PM

9. Yes because although we will likely have more Representatives- voting is Done Collectively By State

and likely there will be more Red States than blue States

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Response to Claustrum (Reply #8)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 03:05 PM

11. I feel the same about Ne 2, where the few polls that have come out for it sho Biden with comfortable

lead

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Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 02:33 PM

3. Great News!

If this holds, all the Trumpers in CD2 are going to have a major Sad.

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Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 02:36 PM

4. It could be a very short, happy night for Dems

if we take Florida.

Trump has no path to 270 without Florida.

It may be the reason Bloomberg has just pledged $100M+ to support Biden in Florida....

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Response to Sogo (Reply #4)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 03:07 PM

12. The later he throws that money in the better,

but not too late because a ton of people will start voting in the very near future. I would say late-ish September might be a good time to go all in.

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Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 02:36 PM

5. looks like its appeal to the Great Lobstermen of Maine was unsuccessful

still down 21 after all those fabulous deals, how sad it must be

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Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 02:37 PM

7. Kentucky???

Trump would take away their healthcare, their black lung disability payments, their unemployment protection, their social security....
And they want to vote for him? It doesn't compute.

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Response to dawg day (Reply #7)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 03:11 PM

14. The Trumpsters don't believe that he would do any of that to them.

I've posted about SS a few times on FB, and within seconds some of the Trumpsters I know are on it like flies on dog-do, shouting "Fake News."

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Response to Sogo (Reply #14)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 07:50 PM

15. When I think of all the people in Kentucky on disability--

They are actually lucky the rest of us care more about them than they care about themselves.

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Response to dawg day (Reply #7)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 07:52 PM

17. They are voting based in hatred for blacks, Mexicans, jews, gays etc

do they are voting their interest in supporting Trump.

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Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 02:44 PM

10. Yup

No Fl, OH, or even PA needed if he gets Maine-2 and Arizona.

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Response to Johnny2X2X (Reply #10)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 03:09 PM

13. Indeed. Team Biden should fight like hell for it.

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Response to Johnny2X2X (Reply #10)

Wed Sep 16, 2020, 07:51 PM

16. really? That's good.

I really hope AZ comes through, and that our great Mark Kelly is senator, and Gabby will be back in DC.

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