Biden leading ME-2 by 53-44 Biden +9 in new Quinnipiac University poll

[Claustrum]

Isn't this one of the district that Clinton lost that could put Biden at 270 if Biden wins AZ but loses PA?

Other polling result:

SC: Trump 52 to Biden 45 Trump +6
ME-1: Biden 64 to Trump 32 Biden +32
ME-2: Biden 53 to Trump 44 Biden +9
Maine: Biden 59 to Trump 38 Biden +21
KY: Trump 58 to Biden 38 Trump +20

https://poll.qu.edu/kentucky/release-detail?ReleaseID=3673

[jorgevlorgan]

1. I think the ranked choice voting will also substantially help there.

[Statistical]

2. It is. Good to see.

Clinton-2016 states (232) + MI (16) + WI (10) + AZ (11) + ME-2 (1) gives Biden exactly 270 EV. I don't think it will come down to that but it is a nice backup plan.

It is also a nice backup-backup plan if Biden wins by more but Dump tries to contest one or more states. Dump can't use that to cheat a win if doing so would still leave Biden at 270. As an example if Biden got the above states but also barely won PA that would give him 290 EV. Dump contesting PA and trying to get some ballots thrown out wouldn't alter the election because he was successful Biden would still have 270 EV.

[jcgoldie]

6. exactly

With that one vote he could win without Pennsylvania or Florida.

[Claustrum]

8. For me, I think winning ME-2 is more about avoiding a tie situation

because a tie is said to favor Trump.

[Stallion]

9. Yes because although we will likely have more Representatives- voting is Done Collectively By State

and likely there will be more Red States than blue States

[jorgevlorgan]

11. I feel the same about Ne 2, where the few polls that have come out for it sho Biden with comfortable

lead

[jpak]

3. Great News!

If this holds, all the Trumpers in CD2 are going to have a major Sad.

[Sogo]

4. It could be a very short, happy night for Dems

if we take Florida.

Trump has no path to 270 without Florida.

It may be the reason Bloomberg has just pledged $100M+ to support Biden in Florida....

[jorgevlorgan]

12. The later he throws that money in the better,

but not too late because a ton of people will start voting in the very near future. I would say late-ish September might be a good time to go all in.

[0rganism]

5. looks like its appeal to the Great Lobstermen of Maine was unsuccessful

still down 21 after all those fabulous deals, how sad it must be

[dawg day]

7. Kentucky???

Trump would take away their healthcare, their black lung disability payments, their unemployment protection, their social security....
And they want to vote for him? It doesn't compute.

[Sogo]

14. The Trumpsters don't believe that he would do any of that to them.

I've posted about SS a few times on FB, and within seconds some of the Trumpsters I know are on it like flies on dog-do, shouting "Fake News."

[dawg day]

15. When I think of all the people in Kentucky on disability--

They are actually lucky the rest of us care more about them than they care about themselves.

[JI7]

17. They are voting based in hatred for blacks, Mexicans, jews, gays etc

do they are voting their interest in supporting Trump.

[Johnny2X2X]

10. Yup

No Fl, OH, or even PA needed if he gets Maine-2 and Arizona.

[tman]

13. Indeed. Team Biden should fight like hell for it.

[dawg day]

16. really? That's good.

I really hope AZ comes through, and that our great Mark Kelly is senator, and Gabby will be back in DC.