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DirkLerxst

(32 posts)
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 11:15 PM Sep 2020

Kavanaugh's nomination in late 2018 helped increase the size of the blue wave

It is the #1 reason why Susan Collins is 12 points behind in Maine.


If Republicans think this helps them in the elections, they are massively underestimating how this is going to motivate women and young people to levels greater than ever before.



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Kavanaugh's nomination in late 2018 helped increase the size of the blue wave (Original Post) DirkLerxst Sep 2020 OP
didn't seem to help in Senate races Wabbajack_ Sep 2020 #1
The Senate races that year that we lost were mostly held in traditionally red states. W_HAMILTON Sep 2020 #4
We held Montana and WV though Wabbajack_ Sep 2020 #6
And those two incumbents were polling ahead of their challengers for most of the cycle. W_HAMILTON Sep 2020 #10
Florida was definitely an exception jorgevlorgan Sep 2020 #12
We were looking at an utter blowout ibegurpard Sep 2020 #5
Yeah well that's a pretty lame and uninformed take BannonsLiver Sep 2020 #7
GOP was defending just 9 seats, Dems were defending 25 DirkLerxst Sep 2020 #9
Good point. LakeArenal Sep 2020 #2
here's the thing qazplm135 Sep 2020 #3
So? Most (perhaps all) people will have voted before this is a done deal. herding cats Sep 2020 #8
To hell with a blue wave. Doreen Sep 2020 #11
Everyone is still assuming a normal election Awsi Dooger Sep 2020 #13

W_HAMILTON

(10,237 posts)
4. The Senate races that year that we lost were mostly held in traditionally red states.
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 11:21 PM
Sep 2020

No such luck for Republicans this year, given that there are many up for reelection in blue/purple states.

W_HAMILTON

(10,237 posts)
10. And those two incumbents were polling ahead of their challengers for most of the cycle.
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 11:30 PM
Sep 2020

But hey, if you want to drown in your tears, be my guest. It was the Democrats and those that were voting against the Republicans that drove the record turnout in 2018 -- not the Republicans. Republicans in traditionally Republican states might have fared better, but overall, Republicans were clobbered just about everywhere else.

ibegurpard

(17,077 posts)
5. We were looking at an utter blowout
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 11:22 PM
Sep 2020

Considering the map. We held put several races we probably would've lost otherwise. There was no excuse for the lackluster Florida Senate race though.

BannonsLiver

(20,315 posts)
7. Yeah well that's a pretty lame and uninformed take
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 11:24 PM
Sep 2020

The senate map favored the GOP in 2018. They were expecting to gain more than what they got at the beginning of that election year.

 

DirkLerxst

(32 posts)
9. GOP was defending just 9 seats, Dems were defending 25
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 11:28 PM
Sep 2020

Democrats went 23-11.

Democratic senate candidates got 58% of the vote, to 42% for Republicans.


qazplm135

(7,654 posts)
3. here's the thing
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 11:21 PM
Sep 2020

this moment is WHY they have been trying to win elections...so they can do this very thing.
They know they will sometimes lose elections, they don't care if it gets them to this point.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
13. Everyone is still assuming a normal election
Sat Sep 19, 2020, 01:17 AM
Sep 2020

I can't see it. Trump and Barr are going to shut down the vote and then take it to a slanted Supreme Court

After tonight's development I'd be surprised if it didn't unfold that way. They needed that extra Supreme Court vote to be sure it would work

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