MT-SEN: Daines leads by one point on NYT/Siena College Poll
n the hotly contested Senate race — one that could decide which party has control of the chamber — the Republican Steve Daines led the Democrat Steve Bullock by one point, 45 percent to 44 percent. The Green Party candidate earned 3.5 percent.
One might assume that these Green Party respondents would overwhelmingly back Mr. Bullock, but a deeper look at the 19 respondents who supported the Green Party candidate suggests that at least these particular respondents are not progressive voters. Instead, they mainly appear to be registering their dissatisfaction with the major-party candidates. In the governor’s race, they preferred the libertarian candidate over the erroneously listed Green Party candidate by a two-to-one margin. In some respects, they resemble the state over all: a preference for Donald J. Trump as president and for Republicans to control Congress.
The Times and Siena College sought to re-contact the respondents who backed the Green Party candidate in the Senate race, and successfully re-interviewed 10 of the 19. Five backed Mr. Bullock, four supported Mr. Daines, and one was undecided. Mr. Daines would still lead by one percentage point if the available post-survey responses replaced initial interviews.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/20/upshot/montana-poll-election.html
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to Bullock right now! 
