Will Republicans be able to get 50 votes for SC nominee before the election?

[kentuck]

I rather doubt it. It is just too much of a gamble for Republican Senators running in tight races. They do not need the extra burden of explaining their lies to their voters.

They operate in their own self-interests. Many, in my opinion, have concluded that it is better for them politically if they wait until after the election. They do not want to gamble at this point in their races.

Trump and McConnell may not like it but senators in tight races are not ready to sacrifice their careers for Donald Trump at this time.

They, unlike Collins and Murkowski, will choose to keep it quiet behind the scenes. If Trump has not named his nominee by this weekend, I suspect this is the reason why?

[greenjar_01]

1. Yes, and it is going to be vicious and an in-your-face flouting of norms and there's nothing

that can be done about it.

Our system is designed for long-term minority government, like a slaver state.

[beachbumbob]

2. 100% they will, don;t fool yourself as this changes the direction of the court for 25 years

btw, it doesn;t matter if before or after the election as the outcome will be the same

[PoliticAverse]

3. Before the election or before the inauguration? n/t

Last edited Mon Sep 21, 2020, 12:08 PM - Edit history (1)

[RazzleCat]

4. This is the real question

We may be able to keep them in line before, but after, no I don't think so.

[kentuck]

10. That is more likely.

That they will vote in the lame duck session, after their races are over.

[Cosmocat]

20. That is where I am at

The ones who lose, no reason for them not to vote for it.

Their entire lives and income are based on being slavish to the hatefulness of the con party. They make the vote they will remain a member in good status, be able to turn a buck being a Rick Santorum type talking head, being part of their "think tanks" that are awash in $$$, etc.

They don't vote for it they will be pariah's, not able to turn a buck off their status as ex senators, not welcome in their little club ...

[BeyondGeography]

5. Trump will name his nominee promptly and they will have the votes

Romney will come over and that will be the extent of the bleeding. Pence breaks the tie and if it needs to happen before Nov. 30 because of AZ it will.

[still_one]

6. Unfortunately, probably yes.

[Mike 03]

7. Probably, and one reason I think they are rushing this is that Mark Kelly is

favored to win in Arizona and could take office in November, jeopardizing the vote.

[ooky]

8. Yes. They risk their own base turning on them in the election if they don't.

They also have the option of just saying they will vote on a new SCOTUS judge in the lame duck session as well. But McConnell will want to put the vote to the floor as soon as he has the votes.

[JT45242]

9. Nov 4 2020

So as to avoid any voter backlash. They will not consider anything until Nov 4.

Remember the R motto -- Elections (not crimes by us) have consequences

That way they get a RW nut job on the court to turn back gay marriage, interracial marriage, EEOC, ACA, Roe v Wade, Tinker v Des Moines, etc, etc, etc

[Iliyah]

11. I've read that 22 have confirmed . . .

2 said not before the election, although concerned Collins will flip anyways . .

[dalton99a]

12. Yes.

[dixiechiken1]

13. Yes.

Whether the actual vote takes place before the election or immediately following, McConnell will already have it locked down. Count on it.

[Lucinda]

14. I don't think so... n/t

[empedocles]

15. Some signficant game changing things can happen in the coming weeks.

[traitortrump never stops, markets, polls, . . . ]

[MineralMan]

16. There will be threats.

Heavy ones. Those GOP Senators who are facing close races in their states will receive a great deal of pressure from McConnell and others. I hope that some of them have it in them to put on their stainless steel jockstraps and do the right thing. However, I have little confidence in my hope.

[FBaggins]

17. You need to remember that Senators are state elections

I know you know that... but I don't think you've considered which republican senators have competitive races and which states those are in.

Other than Collins and maybe McSally, most of them are more likely to "sacrifice their careers" if they don't back Trump's nominee. They all have conservative bases that they can't win without. Collins is in a completely different position, where even her republican voters lean comparatively left.

[kentuck]

18. I think more may in close races than we now think.

At least, I hope so.

[FBaggins]

19. It's actually a pretty long list

Seven are rated as tossups at worst... and 3-5 more are at least somewhat competitive depending on who you ask.

[ScratchCat]

21. The fact that most did not immediately come forward

And state that precedent calls for the pick to wait until after the next POTUS is sworn in tells you exactly what their intentions are. They could have all nipped it in the bud and ended it right then and there.... and didn't. Its because their constituents want them to confirm a justice.