Daily 538 aggregator check - Biden 77% chance to win, orange asshole 22%, 1 tie

[NRaleighLiberal]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

Not too much time before election day, and lots of voting already happening... interested in seeing if the debates - or just the shit spewing constantly from orange asshole's mouth - will widen the gap between them.

Sam Wang - Princeton - has Biden at 351 EVs, +5.1% meta margin.

https://election.princeton.edu/

Still way too close for comfort.

[greenjar_01]

1. Oooof

[dalton99a]

2. Complacency is deadly

[NRaleighLiberal]

5. exactly!

[peggysue2]

8. At this point in time

and with the rush of current events, I don't know anyone who is complacent. People are realizing and acknowledging just how critical this election is for themselves and the country as a whole. If anything the whole SCOTUS question has energized Biden/Harris voters. Dems were enthusiastic before. Now they're ready to storm the barricades. With their votes and their money.

We're going to get this thing done!

[Thekaspervote]

9. Absolutely we are!!

[sweetloukillbot]

3. It was 69/31 a week or so ago

It’s been moving in the right direction

[NRaleighLiberal]

4. that's the trend we must see continue!

[Amishman]

6. 270 to win's consensus map as well

270 to win generates this by aggregating the current outputs of about 10 other election models.

[Johnny2X2X]

7. State polls have been great lately!

And this is a function of time too. The closer we get with Biden maintaining this lead, the higher his chances go.

[Thekaspervote]

10. Exactly!! He is in a much better position than HRC was at this juncture. Especially in swing states