GOP National Committee Memo Lists 7 Senate Races 'At Risk' Of Flipping To Democrats in November
A National Republican Senatorial Committee memo said the outcome of 10 Senate races this election season could shift the chamber's majority, and at least seven of those races were in need of serious defense in the weeks leading up to Election Day.
Make no mistake: the Senate Majority is at risk," the memo, obtained by The Guardian, said. "Beyond the four battleground states of Colorado, North Carolina, Arizona and Maine, Democrats are going on offense in historically red states like Montana, Iowa and Georgia."
The memo serves as the committee's September update and has been passed along between political strategists as the November election inches closer, according to The Guardian. The Republicans currently hold a majority in the Senate with 53 seats, meaning the Democrats would need to flip four in order to ensure a majority regardless of the outcome of the presidential election.
One of the battleground states mentioned in the memo, Arizona, is part of the "battleground" portion of the committee's "defensive map" for the 2020 election season, the memo said. Several state polls conducted by researchers with YouGov, Emerson College and Morning Consult have found Democratic candidate Mark Kelly leading incumbent Republican Senator Martha McSally, and a Fox News poll published earlier this month said Kelly was leading McSally by 17 points.
The senatorial race in North Carolina, another battleground state, was described in the memo as "a knife fight in a phone booth until the end." Republican Thom Tillis began representing North Carolina in the Senate in 2015 and is facing a challenge from Democrat Cal Cunningham, who has led Tillis in a number of recent state polls, including one conducted earlier this month by the conservative polling company Rasmussen Reports.
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